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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    New Srefs. Rock solid again with the northern edge creeping north.
  2. mitchnick
    Sounds like I should be prepared for a cluster f___! Lol Honestly, I just saw the new Srefs and they are just as great as the last run. I don't recall such a discrepancy between 2 schools of thought. Something has got to give, but it won't be tonight! Good night and thanks for your input on the Board.
  3. mitchnick
    Ukie ensembles
  4. mitchnick
    Looking at the trend on the new Eps, assuming Euro thinking is correct, it's really hard to think I'll see more than an inch up here. Heck, even the old home north of BWI is around 4" now.
  5. mitchnick
    Ahh.
  6. mitchnick
    I need something big. I'm losing faith in Monday, but not yet taking action at the post office.
  7. mitchnick
    What the heck were you doing with acreage down there?
  8. mitchnick
    Ukie https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025010400&fh=168&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=prateptype_ukmo-imp&m=ukmo_global
  9. mitchnick
    No sign of it on the Gem. Lol
  10. mitchnick
    Big improvement over 18z.
  11. mitchnick
    Heavy snow in eastern NC not a sign it's coming all the way up usually.
  12. mitchnick
    Looks good here. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025010400&fh=168&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  13. mitchnick
  14. mitchnick
    I thought you meant 1/3/22. Nm
  15. mitchnick
    Definitely. Not much, but all the height lines are south a touch.
  16. mitchnick
    We definitely missed 1/22. I think ur thinking 2021.
  17. mitchnick
    Business or pleasure?
  18. mitchnick
    We have 8, maybe 9, more model cycles after 0z between now and the first flakes fall. We don't need much more qpf with temps, so 6"+ is more than doable unless everything suddenly finds it's way to the terlet.
  19. mitchnick
    Icon ftw at 180hrs even if falls Monday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2025010400&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  20. mitchnick
  21. mitchnick
  22. mitchnick
    That's the fluff
  23. mitchnick
    You've just lost ur job.
  24. mitchnick
    Looks much like the Gfs, Nam, and Srefs for sure.
  25. mitchnick
    Just in case anyone was wondering, the purpose for the NBM. As we know, most model suites have their ensembles at lower resolution. NBM was conceived to take operational models for the most part and use them as an ensemble suite. It makes sense since the operationals have the highest resolution. This was told to me on Phillywx by Rainshadow, who retired from NWS Philly a few years ago.
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