Hate to say it, but the 6z Icon came west too with the cold boundary. Idk, just thinking we're kidding ourselves to think that this thing won't end up going into the lakes, or at least far enough inland for us to fail again. Seasonal trends are a biatch when they're againt you, and it goes without saying they are against us. If we keep getting ticks west today, it's hard to think otherwise imho.
If we see things changing for the colder, we might have a chance.