mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Gefs
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Bliz, you see the Gfs yet? Youzah
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Icon
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Hmm...look where the Icon puts the next event's slp. Coldish too.
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Oh yeah. It's north
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Icon definitely coming up to us per 108hrs maps imho.
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Practice squad: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024010121&fh=87&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=sfcmslp-meanmem&m=srefens
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Ur right.
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Yes. Better for ratios, which won't show up on 10:1 ensemble maps.
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18z Eps snowfall. Really close to 12z. Slight reduction due to slight reduction in qpf. System behind it is getting it out of here by 12z Sunday.
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They have me as snow on Saturday after 1pm and then rain and snow Saturday night and Sunday. I would make a snarky remark but don't want to jinx myself!
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I was just kidding, hence the lol. No, after retiring last year from 40 years as a lawyer in MD, I'm pretty content with being brain dead looking at weather models during the first decent Niño in 8 years.
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So where exactly do I go to find this "life" you reference. Lol
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Agree, but you don't need snow to shovel...just read my posts.
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Hope so. Time to worry. Lol On an unrelated note, the 18z Gefs snowfall map is uncannily similar to the 12z Eps. Don't recall seeing such agreement by those 2 ensemble products at this range and for such a significant snowstorm.
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Weenie rule of thumb #3: Worry often and worry hard.
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IF the Gfs is close to being right, we'll have bare, rock hard frozen ground a couple of days after this. Nice
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After the 2nd cutter we get our chance the way the trough is aligning on the Gfs. Of course, could be wrong.
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Qpf only thru 286hrs on 18z Gfs
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Yep. And another after that too.
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Actually, I find that follow-up cutter depressing as many of the models are killing any front end. Hopefully, that comes back.
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So taken with the B word, will we have an effin' B?
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Agree. Using snowfall maps as a gauge is a mistake...that's why I do it, at least.
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It's a lot of snow. That's all you need to know at this time. Lol
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Crushed here
