mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Well, I wasn't thinking that big. Ensembles don't look so hot anyway, so it'll probably be gone next operational run.
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Just out and a touch better than 6z.
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Geps a whole lot better than 0z run
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Welp, day 10 Euro has some big potential.
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That good because it's moving into the cold dome and gets out fast before the warm air can be drawn in. I still think we're fine.
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Fast movement also reduces the amount of warm air off the ocean can get involved, so there's that.
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Well, with that vort right behind it pushing it along, it doesn't have the time to be a foot or more. May help for next week however.
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Fyi, seasonal trend says storm is not going to be weak. This one could be different from others over the last months, but we're in a strong Niño and that argues for another strong system. Just mho.
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Gefs look pretty decent for next week's front end. Another 50 miles south or east and we're all rocking. As of now, some already are.
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It's ok, you're left handed.
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Believe me, there are a lot of attorneys seemingly without a law degree, so you'll fit right in. P.s. That really is a great odea charging people for emails. I'm in.
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Ukie made big correction south.
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Fear is my friend. I'll take the cliff option
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I think we're ok. There's enough model support for at least 4" at this range imho.
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Forecast price menu to be pm'ed to you before the end of the day. We always love our customers. ™
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If you asked me for an early forecast TODAY, I'd say 4-8" storm for most. Best case would be 6-10". Subject to change as we get closer obviously.
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Not for Icon. Just Tropical Tidbits. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2024010212&fh=117
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And just like that, it was changed. Your's probably had a mix before the update.
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Icon a big hit for us again.
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I'm still a mix for Saturday night and Sunday. They sometimes treat my area as the bastid child being so close to MD and lumping our forecast with Lwx's northern MD forecasts, or so it seems.
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The only difference up here in PA is a weaker storm with .1" less qpf on the mean. No rain/sleet/snow issues on the mean. Less qpf dropped snowfall map by an inch or less depending on your exact location. Boost the qpf, and we're right back to 0z run.
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Don't know if anybody looks at it, but Pivotal offers the "NWS Blend of Midels," which is a combo of models. It's basically an ensemble type product using operational models, which makes more sense theoretically since they have better resolution than ensemble suites. Anyway, here's the link. It has been gradually increasing snow totals in case you were wondering. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nbm&p=snowfall_acc-imp&rh=2024010207&fh=11&r=us_state_pa&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Yeah, that is lol worthy!
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I am not worthy!!!
