mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Man, is that ever sweet in our backyards.
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Icon close to identical to 12z
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Same movie as with 6z. Operational goes off on one of its wild tangents and ensembles bring us back to reality, for better or for worse. In this case, as at 6z, for better.
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Still like my initial thoughts from yesterday morning that 4-8" seems most likely for most of forum, with an upside of 6-10".
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Lots of mix or even some rain in eastern areas there too. Inland different story as usual.
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Still believe it's the outlier of the Euro suite. Too amped as usual.
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Euro as amped, if not more. Gets me into mix. Plenty of time.
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If 6z Euro was a little less amplified, that would have been a big hit. Let's see if 12z calms down some. I think it will.
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Ukie held
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Gfs seems to be stringing out the 5H energy instead of keeping it in 1 piece, hence the lingering lt snow for a day.
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I think gfs is better than 6z
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Meh...i hate those things. I feel I'm looking at bar codes.
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Nam was trash, but its ensembles , SREF, were not. I'll let you explore if interested at this link. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=srefens&p=sfcwind_mslp-mean&rh=2024010309&fh=87&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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I always seem to forget that part of the forum and only look west. My bad.
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With the slp on the Rgem to our SE moving NE, we don't need to worry about any warming at any level imho.
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1033 High this run at 75 hrs v 1031 on 6z
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By the way, 6z Rgem was sweet. I can't recall if it was posted as my head is a wee bit foggy with this dang cold.
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Rgem has value. Nam has issues. But I plead guilty to posting the Nam when it looks good. It's what a weenie does.
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I remember in March 2018, soon after the update, it gave me 22 inches on the 0z run, then 12" on the 12z run. I ended up with just under 4" later that day. That never would have happened before the "update."
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6z Euro is carp. Every other piece of guidance is getting rid of the OV primary route. Euro is doing its typical over amplifying since the last alleged update. In the words of Henry Fonda in the movie Battle of the Bulge when the Germans were approaching the fuel depot...."BURN IT, BURN IT, BURN IT ALL."
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Ukie...pleasant dreams all.
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Gefs snowfall maps are paultry. What happened
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I'm waiting for the Ukie then going to bed. Euro will have to wait thanks to a nasty cold. Ughh
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Not much is needed for it to become much bigger. Gfs was better too, just not as good as the Gem.
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Next week's event decent on Canadian too.
