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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Raise your hand if you keep refreshing the Icon on TT. Don't be shy!
  2. Nws Blend of Models cut back with totals, as expected. Not bad though. Per Nws Met who posted in the MA forum, he says it does well but slow to change forecasts vs a regular model suite.
  3. Trust me. That was going to happen no matter when it started.
  4. Just a reminder, if this thing is starting around Noon, give or take, on Saturday, we're only 3 and a half days away from start essentially. I mention it because I saw 5 days thrown around in some of the other forums.
  5. Our vort is now 1 with the trailing vort and the western (back) looked deeper on the Eps this run. If this trend continues, it won't be rain that's our problem but sun.
  6. Shouldn't have a problem. Heavy snow should be overvlate Saturday night.
  7. Well, I wasn't thinking that big. Ensembles don't look so hot anyway, so it'll probably be gone next operational run.
  8. That good because it's moving into the cold dome and gets out fast before the warm air can be drawn in. I still think we're fine.
  9. Fast movement also reduces the amount of warm air off the ocean can get involved, so there's that.
  10. Well, with that vort right behind it pushing it along, it doesn't have the time to be a foot or more. May help for next week however.
  11. Fyi, seasonal trend says storm is not going to be weak. This one could be different from others over the last months, but we're in a strong Niño and that argues for another strong system. Just mho.
  12. Gefs look pretty decent for next week's front end. Another 50 miles south or east and we're all rocking. As of now, some already are.
  13. Believe me, there are a lot of attorneys seemingly without a law degree, so you'll fit right in. P.s. That really is a great odea charging people for emails. I'm in.
  14. Fear is my friend. I'll take the cliff option
  15. I think we're ok. There's enough model support for at least 4" at this range imho.
  16. Forecast price menu to be pm'ed to you before the end of the day. We always love our customers. ™
  17. If you asked me for an early forecast TODAY, I'd say 4-8" storm for most. Best case would be 6-10". Subject to change as we get closer obviously.
  18. Not for Icon. Just Tropical Tidbits. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2024010212&fh=117
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