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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Agree, but you don't need snow to shovel...just read my posts.
  2. Hope so. Time to worry. Lol On an unrelated note, the 18z Gefs snowfall map is uncannily similar to the 12z Eps. Don't recall seeing such agreement by those 2 ensemble products at this range and for such a significant snowstorm.
  3. Weenie rule of thumb #3: Worry often and worry hard.
  4. IF the Gfs is close to being right, we'll have bare, rock hard frozen ground a couple of days after this. Nice
  5. After the 2nd cutter we get our chance the way the trough is aligning on the Gfs. Of course, could be wrong.
  6. Actually, I find that follow-up cutter depressing as many of the models are killing any front end. Hopefully, that comes back.
  7. So taken with the B word, will we have an effin' B?
  8. Agree. Using snowfall maps as a gauge is a mistake...that's why I do it, at least.
  9. It's a lot of snow. That's all you need to know at this time. Lol
  10. That 1/4 storm is really lowering heights along the coast in its wake, particularly on the Gfs. As much as it may make me uncomfortable to say it, I don't mind seeing the primary go into the Tenn Valley first. Remember, we do need some ridging ahead of the system to get it up the coast some...just not too much.
  11. Yeah, I couldn't decide. I figured that if the High in Quebec kept moving out, it would have no problem moving nne and being a hit. But if the High held its ground, no dice.
  12. Not trying to pee on your party because I've been burned by them, but Storm Vista snowfall maps have always seemed to be off by 1 category vs. its legend (8-10 is really 6-8.) Here's Pivotal if ur interested.
  13. Yep, I was right. Still as good as 0z however.
  14. I think this Eps snowfall is wrong and the colors on the scale are 1 off (8-10 is really 6-8), but we'll see shortly when Pivotal Eps comes out.
  15. It is, but it's moving faster than last night's run because there's another vort on its tail. Pick out which is the 12z run and which is the 0z without having to look at the time stamp. I bet you got it right.
  16. You're an Orioles fan...you should be used to it!
  17. Gets pushed along this run by trailing waive keeping totals more in the 6-10" vs. 10-14"
  18. Getting pushed along faster. Another trough hot in its heals unlike 0z
  19. Looks to take more western track first than 0z
  20. Gunna be a little further north than 0z. High in Canada 2mb weaker and heights along the coast a bit higher.
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