mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Nothing to hate here in ENE. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
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3k. Further north. Still snowing some in Maine.
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3k. It's done. Congrats x 2.
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3k and not quite over yet. Congrats
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My parents were from Wilkes-Barre. As a child (mid-late 60's), we would visit may father's parents and I still remember the piles of coal in the basement. But they used coal for both heating and cooking. I just assumed that coal usage for cooking AND heating was a thing of the past.
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This may sound naive, but I'm surprised to hear coal furnaces are still in use. And I thought I was on TCC's shift list.
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Surprisingly NOT melting on contact for once this year.
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Lt sn
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I should add that if you go back to previous days forecasts, progged westerlies have strengthened and easterlies weaker. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_mjo_family_time_longitudes?base_time=202412190000&filter=no¶meter=zonal wind 850 hPa
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The Euro depicts westerlies across 1 thru 4 though.
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Except trades take a break when westerlies take over for a few weeks, so that will...ready for this..."constructively interfere" with the Nina. How well the Niña recovers is unknown since the intensity and duration of the westerlies is still just a computer prog.
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Here's a link to daily updates Euro weeklies if you don't have it. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Extended (42 days)"]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
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Euro Weeklies. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_mjo_family_time_longitudes?base_time=202412190000&filter=no¶meter=zonal wind 850 hPa
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Gotta believe this is at least in part the reason for the Niño look on the weeklies. Compared to yesterday's run, more westerlies and less trades.
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Do they ever. Youzah!
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They can't help but be, but the general idea still supports cold enough for snow IF correct, of course.
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End of ensembles and extended products all suggest we'll be cold enough for snow with the correctly placed pattern.
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The best part is, there are decent arguments on both sides. So we just sit back and hope for the best. I think the La Nada conditions for so long with only recent Niña conditions has been a real screwball to long range modeling in part due to the lag in atmospheric response to the Niña. The La Nada has let a background Niño hold on, now it's the Niña fighting against it.
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6z Gfs is looking for Ray.
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3k Nam on board now for ENE
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6z Nam Kuchera. 10:1 is crazy.
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Icon is another disappointment.
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3k Nam not buying what 12k is selling.
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It's snowing in yby? Wtf? That's not fair.
