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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    They got those maps from the same link I posted last night, one page back in this thread. And it was cold off the presses by the time they posted it this afternoon. https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/cansips_charts.asp
  2. mitchnick
    1st wet flakes of the year right now!
  3. mitchnick
    If it's colder than the Wxbell site, then you have to wonder. Lol
  4. mitchnick
    Actually, the regular Cfs site does an average of 10 days of runs, or something along those lines. See up top at this link. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2_body.html
  5. mitchnick
    Tropical Tidbits and the regular Cfs site gives an average of the last 12 runs. The run on that site is just today's 12z.
  6. mitchnick
    Yeah. It says celsius, but no idea on the increments. I actually prefer the CFS forecast for February and March off that site. Take a look. Now that's a Niño on the CFS.
  7. mitchnick
    Here we go. New Cansips. 850 temps at or a littie below but surface temps a little above. Precip, I think, AN in the east. No 500mb maps unfortunately. https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/cansips_charts.asp
  8. mitchnick
    They're not great maps, as in not very helpful, but these are temp and precip probability maps from the updated Cansips. It does look to be a little cooler, but won't guarantee that. https://weather.gc.ca/saisons/prob_e.html
  9. mitchnick
    Geps too.
  10. mitchnick
    Gefs showing early signs of warming at 10mb over and north and nw of Japan.
  11. mitchnick
    Tick, tick, tick go the seconds before someone posts the November Cansips.
  12. mitchnick
    What does that guy know...he's just a kid!
  13. mitchnick
    Wow. You got treated like BWI usually does.
  14. mitchnick
    37.2 for a low coming after sunrise like Bubbler
  15. mitchnick
    Great post with 1 correction. BWI had around 39" of snow in 13/14. I assume you were referring to it when you said "little or snow across the area..."
  16. mitchnick
    If I recall correctly, Stormchaser Chuck's research showed we don't want a -NAO in October if we want one for the winter. It's not absolute, but odds favor a +NAO over D-F with a -NAO in October. @Stormchaserchuck1 Please correct me if I am wrong.
  17. mitchnick
    I haven't seen it posted before, so sorry if everyone has the link, but I've been using this Mesonet site for a while. When you zoom, it populates the map with more locations. It's centered in western PA, but once it stops loading you can move it around with 1 finger. I "X" out of the overlays, but that's up to you. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?obs=true&center=39.4473115,-79.941553&density=1&zoom=7&basemap=OpenStreetMap&boundaries=true,false&obs_popup=true
  18. mitchnick
    Be sure to post pics everyone!
  19. mitchnick
    Indian summer.
  20. mitchnick
    Winds shifted to the north here.
  21. mitchnick
    You can dream longer by not looking at any of the new runs.
  22. mitchnick
    18z Gfs. 66hrs temp anomaly on top and 72 hrs on the bottom. Sweet!
  23. mitchnick
    Webcam
  24. mitchnick
    Skyline Drive looks to be at peak color. Time sensative pic attached along with link for future viewing. https://www.nps.gov/shen/learn/photosmultimedia/view_webcam.htm
  25. mitchnick
    Looks to me like N Hemisphere snow and ice have recovered to at least average, maybe above, if this graph is correct.
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