mitchnick

Closest Wunderground site to me is 34. The one near the top of Pigeon Hills is already 32.

Woke up at 12:43 with real wet snow and a coating on roofs. Might have a shot at a couple inches per radar returns....nah.

That bright line moving east should be the rain/snow line. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad

Yes. Just looking at Georgia radar and water vapor. Links to wv on top and radar on the bottom. On wv, check out how the clouds are expanding westward near KY and how radar in the state of GA is exploding/filling in. I like the trajectory too. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/seus/

I have Pivotal pay site. They have everything the other sites have with the exception of Hemispheric Euro and Eps maps. All they have are conus, but I make due. Cross Keys Diner closed last year. I wasn't sure if that was the one the poster from Dillsburg was talking about or not so I made a point to look today when I drove by. Property went up for auction last year and whoever bought it has been trying to sell it ever since. Want to reopen a diner? Lol

I'm retired. I have nothing to do but look at wx sites, find new home improvements, babysit, and complain...and not necessarily in that order.

18z Euro looks meh. It's only because of that dang thing being so encouraging the past 2 days that I was optimistic, only to shiat the bed on the end. Canderson, I hope you have a mediocre time while in Europe.

Yeah, I've been meaning to talk to you about that Bliz. I'm going to have to ask you to clean out your locker...

Don't know if it is or isn't, but that could just be from the thunderstorm cluster in the area. In my weenie experience, we want the precip to be at least as far west as Charleston, WV. It is now. As long as the precip keeps blossoming as shown in that radar loop out of SW VA shows, we're good if we can get us some cold air.

This is the radar site we need to be watching for tonight, and it is starting to light up! https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=FCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

No, I'm referring to the week starting 1/1. Plus, you can still get snow in lousy patterns, especially a Niño.

And people asked why I stopped posting there 5 and a half years ago. Lurking is enough for me.

5h off today's Eps look great starting week 3, but especially 4, 5, and 6. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-z500?base_time=202312100000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202401010000

Ninja'd by Blizzard of 93!

I don't know why. 5H looks good on both the Gefs and Geps, and that was after looking lousy 2 days ago. Just need a little time to cool things down. Euro looks like the other 2 from late last week. I expect it will come around, but we'll see.

Amen.

Yeah, it's funny how everybody thinks everybody else to their north and west just automatically gets more snow than them with every event. But trust me when I say my old digs south of Baltimore rarely scored better than any other location. Anyway, I trust you knew I was kidding. Welcome aboard.

I don't like you already, even though I really should have given you a chance since my father was from W-B and my mother from Plains. Lemme think about it...

He cherry picked Ensemble products anyway, plain and simple.

One other thing no one, me included, has mentioned. Neither Canadian model nor the Ukie have had anything more than snow tv. I mean nothing outside of 1500'+. So if they win, we'll know better if there is a next time before the end of the world occurs when Taylor Swift dumps Kelce.

Don't know. We can't forget, however, how bad the Nams can be. 12z HRRR didn't look as bad as the Nams at all. Fwiw, 6z Eps cut back on totals but didn't kill totals out west like the Nams. Eps attached.

Yeah, the best runs had the 5h vort sharper and holding it back but now move it out and up faster. Maddening how all the money/research toward model performance still can't get them better 24-48 hours out. Everything becomes a nowcast, or so it seems.

Nams have weaker s/w so everything gets pulled east since you're not getting as strong a mechanism throwing moisture back into the cold. 6z Euro was similar but not as dramatic as Nams.

Well, my post was based on what modeling is consistently spitting out imby. Absolutely agree this is a classic elevation favored event, but modeling has me at 32-33 during snowfall. At night, that's cold enough for periods of 10:1 accumulations provided dendrite growth is cooperating up above. But as I said, I was never one to be concerned about the NWS forecasts. When I lived in MD for the first 61 years of my life, LWX almost always played catchup when it came to snow, so I lost interest in their forecasts.

If modeling holds thru the 12z suite, I'm sure they'll update me, not that I rely on NWS forecasts at all.