mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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48-72 hrs prior is when you want the positive trends to start, and it looks like that what we have. The key word is "trend" because it's still too early to buy into any model output verbatim.
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But per the link below, a large portion of 30C area west of the dateline has cooled to almost normal based on 1991-2000 sea surface temps. So how much effect is it going to really have? I dunno, but it doesn't strike me as enough to overwhelm everything. The dateline east (ENSO 4) has cooled to just 28.54C per Oisst. https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html
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I believe that something is wrong at MDT. Last month MDT was -.1 while Capital City airport was -.9. What's up with that?
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They don't exactly line up.
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18z Rgem has possibilities when the front moves east
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12z Eps. Pretty consistent. All we can ask.
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Yeah, this is the type of event where the hills around you score bigtime. Should more than make up for you coming up short yesterday and today.
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Makes sense. That was the tail end of a warm front that came thru with the snow this am.
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6z Eps snowfall for Sunday/Monday. It wasn't posted, but worthwhile even if 12z will be out shortly.
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Why deflect? Nobody was talking snow. Different issue.
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Here are surface temp anomalies for same time off the Canadian. You know, if you're going to try to be a know-it-all CC dick, you should probably look at all the maps. lol
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Colder RUN....read much?
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Canadian colder run thru essentially the entire run v. Gfs fwiw.
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Gfs is nuttin' for anyone.
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Nah, nobody talks to me.
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Or it's just slower
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Rgem is better....at 84 hrs. Lol
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Nam at 84 hrs, soooo.....
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Sorry. In weenie therapy class we call it a "reload."
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Gotta be one of the best episodes.
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I saw that and was pretty bummed it was rain. Then I noticed that pattern/setup at the end of the run and was reminded of the Euro weeklies prog. Shame it'll all be gone in 6 hrs.
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Must be a warm layer from overnight inversion because there's some sleet mixed in. But all roofs and mulch lightly covered...whoohoo, a legit trace!
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Models were pretty decent with this.
