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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. I don't read X, but does this guy make an actual forecasts at range, or does he just throw out "possible extreme outcomes" he never technically predicts? I've never seen anything he's posted that strays far from that schtick which is why I ask.
  2. A week ago I would have been disgusted by that, but my attitude has changed after 2.5" of rain with another 1" possible.
  3. Nam now joining the Canadian with appreciable rain Friday into Saturday. Nam is >1" while Canadian at 12z is just under and inch. This does favor east over west at this point. Icon says they're both nuts.
  4. I wish I could see the amount of foam pouring out of Snowman's mouth right now.
  5. First 2 Niños I was old enough to be a weenie and experience were 77/78 & 82/83. Boy did they ever skew my expectations for Niños. Lol Both had decent Decembers in the Mid Atlantic
  6. Sorry. I was cleaning out my attachments and deleted a few too many recent ones. Anyway, here's the link. You can get more info than what I originally posted. https://www.jamstec.go.jp/aplinfo/sintexf/e/seasonal/outlook.html
  7. Starting to see that sought after wintertime pivot in the radar echoes, with areas north of Westminster, MD in the jackpot zone.
  8. Center looks to be cutting ENE now from southern MD as rain is starting to fill in again around Baltimore. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DOX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  9. 6z Euro as well as other guidance has Ophelia's center passing to our SE so we'll stay under the NW precip field most of the day. It's become your typical inland runner at this point with much needed rain.
  10. Raining steady. From a distance, it looks like 1.5"+ in the gauge. Precse measurement when I feel like getting wet.
  11. Bwi just over an inch. High likelihood they'll make 2" at this rate imho, which is in line with progs. https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBWI.html
  12. It'll fill in as the center moves north. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=AKQ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad .7" so far imby.
  13. From a purely MA winter perspective, I don't care where the ONI peaks at so long as the MEI can reach a mod to strong level.
  14. I don't think you can use a 5 day 5h anomaly forecast at the end of the model's range to prove October will turn out differently from a previous October. The model could be wrong or even if correct, it's pure luck that 5 days out of 31 will accurately depict the entire month.
  15. Godspeed! It's actually sad what has happened to Baltimore's Inner Harbor. When I was in law school back in the early 80's, the place was packed on weekends, a real party atmosphere. It was a great place to go with plenty of bars and safe. Sure, an occasional mugging, but there were lots of cops around and they tried hard to keep it that way. Now, I would be reluctant to go there during the daytime hours, but that's me.
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