
mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Bwi just over an inch. High likelihood they'll make 2" at this rate imho, which is in line with progs. https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBWI.html -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z Euro total qpf. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Icon is pretty close and that explains its precip field. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It'll fill in as the center moves north. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=AKQ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad .7" so far imby. -
From a purely MA winter perspective, I don't care where the ONI peaks at so long as the MEI can reach a mod to strong level.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
+.5" with steady lt/mod rain -
I don't think you can use a 5 day 5h anomaly forecast at the end of the model's range to prove October will turn out differently from a previous October. The model could be wrong or even if correct, it's pure luck that 5 days out of 31 will accurately depict the entire month.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What site is that....gotta link? Tia -
And it's going nowhere until they kill the beast.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Godspeed! It's actually sad what has happened to Baltimore's Inner Harbor. When I was in law school back in the early 80's, the place was packed on weekends, a real party atmosphere. It was a great place to go with plenty of bars and safe. Sure, an occasional mugging, but there were lots of cops around and they tried hard to keep it that way. Now, I would be reluctant to go there during the daytime hours, but that's me. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Getting angry now. https://www.surfchex.com/cams/nags-head-web-cam/ -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
But how's it smell at the Inner Harbor? -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There's too many old, married men in this subforum living in the past. Lol -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks to this weekend and next weekend with a similar event, Euro says drought conditions may be ending very soon. Just hope it's right. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some decent cams of the storm at this link. https://www.surfchex.com/cams/nags-head-web-cam-abalone-st/ -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just be sure to wear a bullet proof vest. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just remember come winter that the Canadian has done really well with this event, as it appears now at least. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep. And you could say the Ukie jumped on board too. Lol -
That's not new. It's the September updates we all saw except for the BOM (they need to add another "B") and the Cfs which both update constantly to insure their reputations of being constantly wrong. EDIT: In fact, that graph is off the BOM site you linked to in your post yesterday referencing the BOM update. Don't know why you would feel inclined to post it as if it was something new. It's mid-month and the Twitter hypsters are running short of material.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z Canadian (GGEM) sticks with heavy rain. Bigtime totals thru 84 and still raining heavy at 84 hrs. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep. Idk, I think we get 1-2" with this system. I just don't buy the Euro and Ukie at this point. -
Here you go 40/70 Benchmark. Stolen from Phillywx.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z Gfs is a nail biter west of Gettysburg. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Rgem is back too. And still raining hard at 84 hrs. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nam is 2"+