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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    27.2 so far, but 2 Wunderground sites near me have a 26 handle.
  2. mitchnick
    On a different note...
  3. mitchnick
    Looking at the surface temps as depicted on the SSTA maps, December has the east coast in the first AN level (don't see the legend, but I'm guessing+.5C-1C?) and the rest of the months are all in the normal range with some BN in February. That's not bad at all.
  4. mitchnick
    I think I've seen the Cansips late on TT 1, maybe 2 times, in the past many years. Usually out the evening of the last day of the month.
  5. mitchnick
    I admit it...I've been listening for the last 15 minutes.
  6. mitchnick
    Sounds good to me. Snow Water equivalent looks to be normal from Boston on south along I95 and westward beyond I81. I'll take that in a heartbeat.
  7. mitchnick
    Fwiw, updated Cansips from the Canadian site. Only map is a global map and no 500mb maps. https://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/?page=cansips-global
  8. mitchnick
    @FPizz Huh? I said I posted it yesterday and it was on the previous page.
  9. mitchnick
    They got those maps from the same link I posted last night, one page back in this thread. And it was cold off the presses by the time they posted it this afternoon. https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/cansips_charts.asp
  10. mitchnick
    1st wet flakes of the year right now!
  11. mitchnick
    If it's colder than the Wxbell site, then you have to wonder. Lol
  12. mitchnick
    Actually, the regular Cfs site does an average of 10 days of runs, or something along those lines. See up top at this link. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2_body.html
  13. mitchnick
    Tropical Tidbits and the regular Cfs site gives an average of the last 12 runs. The run on that site is just today's 12z.
  14. mitchnick
    Yeah. It says celsius, but no idea on the increments. I actually prefer the CFS forecast for February and March off that site. Take a look. Now that's a Niño on the CFS.
  15. mitchnick
    Here we go. New Cansips. 850 temps at or a littie below but surface temps a little above. Precip, I think, AN in the east. No 500mb maps unfortunately. https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/cansips_charts.asp
  16. mitchnick
    They're not great maps, as in not very helpful, but these are temp and precip probability maps from the updated Cansips. It does look to be a little cooler, but won't guarantee that. https://weather.gc.ca/saisons/prob_e.html
  17. mitchnick
    Geps too.
  18. mitchnick
    Gefs showing early signs of warming at 10mb over and north and nw of Japan.
  19. mitchnick
    Tick, tick, tick go the seconds before someone posts the November Cansips.
  20. mitchnick
    What does that guy know...he's just a kid!
  21. mitchnick
    Wow. You got treated like BWI usually does.
  22. mitchnick
    37.2 for a low coming after sunrise like Bubbler
  23. mitchnick
    Great post with 1 correction. BWI had around 39" of snow in 13/14. I assume you were referring to it when you said "little or snow across the area..."
  24. mitchnick
    If I recall correctly, Stormchaser Chuck's research showed we don't want a -NAO in October if we want one for the winter. It's not absolute, but odds favor a +NAO over D-F with a -NAO in October. @Stormchaserchuck1 Please correct me if I am wrong.
  25. mitchnick
    I haven't seen it posted before, so sorry if everyone has the link, but I've been using this Mesonet site for a while. When you zoom, it populates the map with more locations. It's centered in western PA, but once it stops loading you can move it around with 1 finger. I "X" out of the overlays, but that's up to you. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?obs=true&center=39.4473115,-79.941553&density=1&zoom=7&basemap=OpenStreetMap&boundaries=true,false&obs_popup=true
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