
mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Canadian ensembles. About 2x plus the Euro thru day 7. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Eps qpf thru day 7. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Have you ever tried the C&O Canal from around Harper's Ferry, WV north or south. Can't get any flatter and pretty picturesque. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Can't disagree with that map at this range. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Actually, globals are in pretty decent agreement with slp location at 18z on Friday. It's after that where they diverge. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
But I don't want reasonable, I want rain! -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If we get something close to this, I think we could safely say the worm has turned with our pattern. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
News said 1 person died in house gas explosion. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Meh...EC has been carp in my book ever since the alleged upgrade in 2017. I'm riding the Canadian as long as at least one of the globals support it. In this case, the Gfs and Icon fwiw do. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
More likely full of water. But have a great time paweather. Don't mind me. j/k -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Canadian is wetter than the Gfs. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I mow 1x/week unless I get lucky with drought conditions, which puts me at 2 weeks. The pia is that I have about 4 different areas that hrow at different rates. But I admit to mowing the fast growing areas and leaving the rest for the next week. Iow, anything to avoid mowing!!! -
18/19 3.4 peaked at +.9C. We've beat that already with the most recent trimonthly at +1.1C and will certainly be above that next month. So one would hope this year would overcome the problems of 18/19...or exacerbate them! Lol
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There's 2 Mt. Joys. One over near Bonneauville, a few miles east of Gettysburg, and another just east of the Susquehanna River in Lancaster County. They may live in different ones idk. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ahh. Never counted mows, but I know this year was thankfully low. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nope, low man again. .7" here. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like this is not the end of the rain. Eps and Geps both have the coastal system on days 8-9 hitting us bringing total qpf for the runs just below and just above 3". Gefs aren't quite as wet topping out for the run just over 2". -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Rain has just resumed here. -
Throw out the seasonal forecasts "maybe"? Welp, that sums up the value of most of the internet know-it-alls.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.4" with a lull -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
HRDPS (affectionately the Herpes), which is the high resolution Rgem, has been painting a .75"+ strip over York County on westward for several runs. This is the 12z. Imby, I'd say it's doing best so far. -
Well, until they can get better enso forecasts, MEI is probably a bridge too far. But it would be something else to argue about!
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I agree. I'm just in no mood to roll the dice with a straight up super MEI, and that's looking less likely as each day goes by so far.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
. 18" so far after a good 45 minutes of steady rain. Light stuff now but more on the way. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
mitchnick replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
《Sheepishly raises hand》