mitchnick

I look at that and worry it favors the southern MA. Living thru 72/73 around BWI remains a very bad nightmare for me.

It appears to show 3.4 at the start of September at around +1.8C, but none of the current monitoring shows that. CPC was 1.6 on 8/30 and OIST was +1.55C on 9/1. Also, you're reading the graph incorrectly. Jan is around +2.3C not +2.5C.

Yep....another .2"

Yeah, my daughter lives SE of town by a mile+ and she hadn't had a drop while we were in the middle of it, so that sounds right. West of town was the place to be for the first round, and mby is NNE of the center of Hanover (94 & 194).

That's true. I remember that.

I was at the Olive Garden when the storm hit. Tons of close lightning and thunder with heavy rain. But once there was a break and I got home (1 mile+ as the crow flies), I could tell it wasn't quite as heavy and there was only .2" in the rain gauge. But it's a cheap gauge and doesn't catch everything when it's as windy as this storm was, so there was probably a bit more than that. In any event, it's a start and we've got many more chances over the next 4-5 days.

Getting crushed now.

Raining here with a renegade shower ahead of the main batch.

Cells joining forces now in southern Frederick county, MD aimed right at me. What could go wrong? Lol

0z Euro thru 84 hrs.

I should be so lucky to lose part of my lawn. I hate mowing grass but refuse to pay someone money for something I hate so much. Lol So I curse for 50 minutes once a week, or 2 if I'm lucky like this week. I say "fry baby, fry!"

Dry as a bone here. At this point, any rain will only act to save the weeds.

18z Euro is decent considering this is only thru 90 hrs.

Jumping back to the Euro Seasonal, I would definitely not give up on December. The only free maps the Euro site offers are world and N. Hemisphere views. As such, attached are the World 850 temp ensemble mean anomaly maps for December and January. Both months have us in the normal range with December closer to slightly AN and January closer to slightly BN. Thus, we could definitely score in December, mostly likely a single event like 12/82 where BWI had a coastal that dropped 6.7" with Biglerville at 2". And despite that event, BWI was still +3.4 degrees AN for December. Finally, also attached is the 500mb anomaly for 12/82 that was butt ugly but still didn't prevent a coastal.

Yeah, those surfers are some smart dudes.

Well, this is what December 1986 and 2014, both Niños, looked like and I'd take either one of the ensuing wintets. Warm Decembers in Niños is normal. 02' was unusual.

Nobody posted the Euro Seasonal yet? It's nice.

It's been a pretty impressive drop in the last 7 days and the opposite of what this map has looked like all summer.

96 at York Airport.

Nws forecast for Monday the 11th imby is Sunny with a high of 78. It can get to 120F for all I care before then so long as Monday and beyond works as currently advertised. I vividly remember the relentless heat of the summer 95 snd what happened once November hit. The price was worth it.

We go to Montezuma's in Gettysburg probably once a week. Fyi, they're building a Plaza Azteca about 150 feet up the road from your Mexican Restaurant, but it's a chain in case you've never been there.

Oh, that Walmart is great too, and I AM a happy Walmart/Sam's club shopper. My wife and I seriously considered moving to Waynesboro back in around 2011 or 2012, but decided it was too far from our jobs. If it was up to me, we would have moved further n&w than Hanover. But with our daughter and her 3 kids all under 6 living on the se side of Hanover, we needed to be closer to them. So we're in Hanover Borough north of "downtown " to squeeze out as many snowflakes possible before the dreaded sleet line from the south hits. Lol

Ahh, gotcha. My wife and I will often go to the Lowes in Rouzerville (though officially listed as Waynesboro by Lowes) for the drive and scenery. Really pretty out your way.

What's ur elevation? I see your sig has Pen Mar/Rouzerville. Pen Mar is near the top of the hills but Rouzerville is down the hill a bit.