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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    This is pretty close to warning if kuchera is right, what’s stopping even farther N? Edit: misread you, do you mean watches since the timing is not until tomorrow
  2. Heisy
    Goes with the old saying, Stronger wave 1 weaker wave 2, vice versa. What a joke the euro is right now.
  3. Heisy
    I feel bad for them wish we could both get hit
  4. Heisy
    Euro is legit warning snow I think, tombo thinks so too
  5. Heisy
    Yep, NAM bufkit had Philly at 13:1 too fyi
  6. Heisy
    12z euro is a hit for tonight, in line with other models now. Hell yea
  7. Heisy
    It’s amazing how different it can be up here near Ne airport vs center city. Last event Sunday was like a perfect climo example. I literally drive across the boulevard and snow was on the roads and progressively got deeper
  8. Heisy
    Exactly. I don’t like the look here either.
  9. Heisy
    Euro? Lol I bet it ticks slightly N again. Euro tends to make tiny ticks each run instead of larger ones. It’ll prob look like 6z eps. i think it’ll be warm like gfs for next week
  10. Heisy
    Radar looks good. That stream near KY is main batch and that’s aimed right at us
  11. Heisy
    My bad I wasn’t in the other thread so wasn’t paying attention, sorry fellas
  12. Heisy
    Those meso bands almost always setup farther N than progged so we’re in a good spot.
  13. Heisy
    Sorry I’ll see myself out. Wasn’t paying attention to the 10-12 thread. Didn’t mean to rub salt in the wounds
  14. Heisy
    Yeah I did. Trust me I want us both to score more than anyone. The HP is no joke so it’ll depend on the confluence and how strong the vort is. It’s fun to look at for now but I personally don’t buy it. Maybe thump to sleet/ice best case? don’t rip me too much just giving my .000002 cents. I feel all your pain honestly. Tbh though we all know in March or next winter you guys will get a HECS. Seems boom or bust anymore
  15. Heisy
    I’d be careful with the para and cmc right now. I’m not saying sleet/ice won’t be an issue next week, but idk this vort pass screams bgm to Boston to me. That’s just me though not trying to be a Debbie downer
  16. Heisy
    I think Philly ends up with around a little Over 3” but there’s an outside shot at 5-6. Of course there’s also a shot at 1-2 lol
  17. Heisy
    Yea down SNJ towards shore could have snow growth issues. Hopefully we can hit 12:1 at times
  18. Heisy
    Just reading HM sounds about right. We’ll probably get 10-13:1, but he has noted the increased LLJ strength, while increasing precip, could hurt ratios.
  19. Heisy
    Sweet, and that’s just 10:1
  20. Heisy
    Supposedly the EPS/control is getting an upgrade this week. stormvista advertising on the homepage fyi
  21. Heisy
    Awaiting snow maps but that might have 6” just west of the city, tombo says it’s .5, so might be 4-7” with ratios?
  22. Heisy
    I know people down south hate em for good reason, but I wouldn’t mind a legit ice storm. We never get them in Philly anymore. Unless it’s sleet, we’re really good at that.
  23. Heisy
    Models are trending slower to shift the tpv out, as psu noted this years trend is your friend for next week:
  24. Heisy
    For the cmc the black and white maps roll out around 11 thru day 6, and then stormvista starts rolling pretty quick after that
  25. Heisy
    18z eps had less ridging vs 12z at 144 hours. We have a sprawling 1044hp to work with. Just need the confluence to trend better from the departing ULL
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