WEATHER53

Well are you out at that winter place like last year? You younger mountain guys are very sturdy.

5pm-26 F nw wind 17 mph, WC 14 , post sunrise high 29.5

Nippley Warning thru 9pm with northwest winds 15 gusting to 25 mph and wind chills in single digits by dark.

Highest temp since 7am 29.5 and sun effect starting to wane

Ineffective Sunshine Advisory in Effect Most current temps are at or lower than 7am readings.

4” for me in Kemp Mill and daughter reported 5.5 in Frederick

2”ph rate in Frederick and 3” accumulated

0.5”, moderate snow, 32

Snow began 12:15 and temp down to 33 at 12:45 with steady snow. No new accumulation

No radar panic necessary. It looks just like a 2-3” producer usually does. Any changes in onset time?

No radar panic necessary. It looks just like a 2-3” producer usually does

Playing with the grandkids in the snow. About 30% bare and 0.5-1.5” in full sun and 3-3.5 in full shade 40F dp 21

The more phasing becomes a factor the less well we do. I think this is more of a system that just passes by to our south moving wsw-ene and keeps its precip shield intact as it moves over mountains and south of our area from west to east. If we get stuck with it dying to our west and jumping to coast and reintensfying then DC proper is in trouble .

I think it’s an over performance regime right now.

Definitely one in 87 where just as it’s getting here it turns more ne rather than east and slows down like turning the corner. Big surprise. Otherwise just due east and in and out in 5-7 hours with modest 2.5-3.5.” Next week possible mid 20’s for highs.

But he said “once” and that’s what’s crazy!!!

This is a west to east pass by mover with about half the moisture getting scraped off by mountains and rest deposited here. No gulf nor Atlantic moisture to replenish the moisture once east of mountains

Need wider goalposts!

I stayed up until 6am to see the changeover and got back up at 8 to see the pummeling

If there is no adverse action then there is no “overreaction”. Overreaction concept is merely failure to take responsibility for the initiating act.

Thank you very much . You younger folks have access to data that was non existent when I was working on how to forecast starting in about 1965. By 1980 I was taken into the DC weather fold and they too found me not like them but I was accurate and the broadcasts began. By 2000 started getting involved with the internet . I too want good relations and I did miss your previous olive branch but now I know and intend to reciprocate even if I was brusque some posts earlier. Thanks

Name caller find another thread to instigate a personal attack in.

Very very good stuff and I agree with all of it except the “overreaction” characterization. Don’t start in on me and you won’t hear a peep in response. I nailed this last storm well in advance and that really irritates some because, as you stated perfectly, my analysis methods involved decades of record keeping diaries from the 60s into 80’s before models were readily available. It has served me well and kept me engaged with many weather services businesses outside of this board. So a piss ass pot shot taker .will be responded to by me . Or his jollies can be sought elsewhere and not at my expense nor thus boards expense unless you all enjoy this shit. So I will simply be a continued non tradition forecaster and enjoy it until the barbs fly again. I won’t slink off to the “ignore ” Like I’ve said, the ball is in a court that’s not mine. I fully desire amicable exchange of information and opinion. I don’t find juvenile jerk “fun making” of any use here .

Well we know you feel entitled to your snarky but how about instead of expecting people to put you on ignore, and effectively hide like a safe space , that you just be a decent human and not snark out on those who dont do things they way you do?

Don’t forget to take your antibuse and I could put out all the details and then some pearl clutches would flock to the rescue. All I want to do is to discuss weather. You feel empowered to chide and deride because it amuses you. That’s a sickness. so Mods and fellow posters. Do you want weather discussion, even if it does not fit into the model vein always, or do you want back and forth nastiness disguised as “funny” when that is not the the real intent. The intent is ill will and I’m more than willing to respond to that. Or we can make our weather observations in peace. Don’t be a self absorbed ass and there is no response from me. I Never Instigate. But, try and stab me and you get shot and can cry about my “overreaction” all you want Ball is in all of your and Moderators court.