WEATHER53

I am rehabilitated board wise. Have you noticed??

Hey, I know you!

Where is projected location of precip mass development? Nothing out there right now

Where is the precip mass now?

Clear until 2am will allow for a good temp drop and then rapid cloud increase hold temps down post sunrise. Baro good and likely will get 50% drop between temp and dew

Examples, not prediction

When it’s rough it’s always shown as better looking 10+ days until 10+ gets here and then it’s another 10+. Been that way for 15+ years on weather boards so kinda odd that we even hold hope or pay attention anymore.

Middle of afternoon 93 was a world Ive not seen before or since.

To me this person is saying the much ballyhooed SSW is not the player it has been touted to be starting 5/10 years ago. Even the Enso does not have the predictability it used to. Many of these indexes, with seemingly a new one being rolled out Every year, are really just an attempt to put a definition on the undefinable longer range weather patterns and responses. Yes we know negative NAo and AO is important but the rest of it all is largely variable and/or unproven. Models in the medium to longer range really Do Not predict weather but rather give varying examples of it. The best thing for mid Atlantic people to try and pin down is where is the cold air and can or how does it get here.

83 Christmas was very windy and the old Choptank River bridge in Cambridge was catching spray and the right lane was icey and untreated.

Been running +10 days with 0 or negative night, rarely see that.

Then I was in College Park and remember the BW Pkwy being wrecked with trees down by Feb super heavy wet snowfall

She is sept also. The 9th

Our daughter 1987 also. What month you?

1987 started showing up in analog discussions this fall. That season more than any I can remember going back to 1960s was the one where Every snow opportunity did materialize and usually exceeded predictions

PV moves south, Pv moves north-cover all the bases Models been off since mid November with big time warm ups always 10+ days away.

Low of 19 and just hit 32

23 at midnight, coldest for season, winds still 15-20 and gusty Really got slamned by unusual gust on Beltway right at 11pm. Glad lane next to me was clear because I went in it almost halfway

Rumors of the occult up that way

0.75” here. no précip at current time. 35F

2am obs Moderate snow, grass dusted and table topped, 35.7F

Baro rising stoutly as cold air pushes in. Area wide 2-3 degree drop in last hour with still falling dewpoints. General 40/25 right now so looks like 30F when precipitation gets going, I think a surprise is coming

Last time we had cold air headed out and this time the cold air really did not start asserting until late afternoon. Pretty dramatic 10* drop since 4pm

Models don’t get the oddities that have happened since middle of November when they began showing warm ups right around the corner. The open waters in Alaska area and the stout highs from Mongolia have perplexed the formulations. So, as I have been stating since mid November and in September long range outlook, December will be colder than average. My only concern is that since it started a bit earlier it may end earlier.

0.25 here