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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. The percentage chance of us seeing model depicted 6+ hours of freezing rain is 5% or less.
  2. 10pm last night I was 67F 10pm tonight 31 Had a gust to 55. Many past 40 for 3 consecutive hours.
  3. I’ve got the most stuff blown down and all over the place since that great and lengthy windstorm in early March about 5 years ago
  4. Very slowly but surely winter is becoming JFM more than DJF.
  5. 15 for a low and 38 for a high and quickly back down to 33 in last hour.
  6. 12 mid obs 20F. 8th time that cold or colder for midnight . 18 twice 19 twice 20 four times.
  7. High of 31 wind chill 20ish most of afternoon. 8 times have not hit 32 this season
  8. 11pm obs. Light rain with 2 degree drop to 44 but DP 28 so won’t evap to it. Wait for colder push.
  9. Max sun right now. One key will be temps about 10pm. 45 and we gotta wait about 6 more hours but 35-38 we will be snowing in 2-3.
  10. Right. We try now to find tune too much, using microscopes instead of binoculars. Trying to pinpoint streaks is mostly useless. Is it 15 miles “wide” or 50. I disagree in that for the rest of the way one can look at satellite. Wv, radar and compare in about 90 minute intervals of how things are progressing and forecast from that and not model depictions Do not need a defined low /synoptic feature to be able to do that
  11. Model time over and obs satellite radar and wv on Several areas of precip want to merge around mid Atlantic. it’s incorrect to suggest that 32/33 vs 31/32 is going to make a difference at 3/4am in the morning. I think most of DC will be like 27-30 anyway come crunch time and rise very little until precip shuts off Super Sunday afternoon. Thought when I posted first forecast that 1-2” was solid and 3-5” a 10-15% chance and have to upgrade that now to 50/50
  12. But….but…but….90% stomped off last night and gave up throw in towel winter over and we won’t have anyone here to participate !
  13. 40 degree day swing pretty rare around here
  14. I basically disagree. We had talent from Boston to Miami but people got pissed when their area did not get snowed upon and”blamed “ that on people from other areas. No way we benefit from Raleigh, forky , isotherm, Ray, ginx, Walt not actively being here.
  15. 1-2” event, quite cold and windy on Super Sunday with temps rising just 4/5 from morning lows of 25-30 and daytime highs 28-32 with northwest winds 20+
  16. Does oneself a great service to accept these projections are examples and not forecasts.
  17. Cold at 7 Springs 24 and great outside condition
  18. 1966 did it for me and I think I know what you mean and how you feel. #1 Snowmaggedon #2 March 1993 with a freaking 28.22 baro and just utter near darkness at 2pm with snow sleet even bit of rain and constant 30+ winds #3 PD 1 part of the best as Bob described #4 1983 thundersnow 1” in 12 minutes. #5 1996 #6 2016 #7
  19. You cancelled cold temps on 1/3. Look what followed.
  20. Leaving for 7 Springs tomorrow and snow mobile trails open
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