87storms

Yea it’s not about Miller ABC, it’s about whether there’s a southern stream.

I’m seriously considering chasing snow this season. I’m kinda due for a ski trip.

Meh lol. I may need to get a real snowstorm out of my system before I get interested in these nickel and dime frozen events again, unless it’s a legit ice storm (those can be cool minus the power outages). Driving in any sort of ice sucks, though, so from an actual weather forecaster perspective it should be taken seriously due to travel impacts.

On the plus side, you’re only missing minor events in this steroidal La Niña. Once TN valley systems and coastals return, you’re gonna be sitting pretty…and Frederick, too.

Just peeked at radar…looks like one of those awesome events where you can see the back edge of the precip before the precip arrives.

You’re gonna love it out there and it seems like the western ski resorts are slowly making up ground. Just experienced CO-style weather in southern NV actually. Yesterday was miserable…windy, scattered rain. Today…bright sunshine. Still kinda windy, though lol.

That is just an awful snowfall streak and I think Frederick has been the same. I don’t think I’ve seen >4” since early Jan ‘22.

Going into January with a coating and an inch (based on what my neighbor told me from the last storm) would be kinda underwhelming imo based on the start we had in the temps department. Gotta see if we can start getting some MJO-driven (which I haven’t checked) southern stream systems. Maybe this energy coming onshore to the southwest (which I’m experiencing now) will translate east.

Rain has commenced in Henderson, NV. Feels like I’m back in Maryland with the increased humidity lol. Looks like snow levels are gonna stay high until Thursday. Lee Canyon is a popular local ski resort…hoping they do well with this.

I had to come to Vegas to get a flood watch lol.

The most concerning thing to me is the lack of region-wide snowstorms (not this nickel and dime, hit or miss stuff). It’s become a thing.

Just posted this in another thread. Saw it on LinkedIn. Should have looked here first lol. That’s quite a speed increase re AIGFS.

Maybe posted already, but discusses the NOAA AI models… https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models

It’s a competitive sport, though…and I want to be on the winning side.

My neighbors are gonna love that I left my balcony furniture out and I won’t be back for another 10 days.

I actually had a fairly vivid dream last night about a 6-10” snowfall. Weird hobby.

Seems more like base climo at this point. It’s been cloudy, too, in this fast flow. My buddy confirmed that he’s only made 398kwh this December compared to 1100 last December.

We need blocking. These NS waves are cute for a day or two, but this area needs a region-wide snowstorm with overrunning moisture from the south on top of a slow moving, dense dome of arctic air blocked by a downstream traffic jam.

I actually get the occasional blizzard dream and we are due. I might regret selling my jeep in a month or two.

There’s a 100% chance of something and a 0% chance that anyone knows with 100% certainty.

Definitely took an anomalous pattern to get December cold and snow in the east. Been record breaking warmth in the southwest (where I’m currently at for the next week or two). Usually in the upper 50s in Vegas this time of year, but it’s been close to 70 each day so far since I arrived last week. I think the Rockies are also below normal snowfall so far. I’d like to see a “normal pattern” develop in January…one in which Frederick can get a warning level snowfall from an ol’ TN Valley wave and a blocking high to the north. TBD

Just played ball in 65 and sunshine here in southern Nevada and just peeked at the radar. Looks like a snow shower moving thru FDK? Do I miss it? Nope lol. Will I be ready for a snowstorm when I get back in a week or two? Yep. Though I guess it looks like a milder pattern incoming there for a bit.

Clarksburg is an underrated microclimate.

It’s early, but starting to think this is gonna end up a northern MD special…including Frederick.

Always gotta be a little cautious on the leeward side of these types of systems. The Apps are hungry mountains.