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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    Yea, that’s a “you won’t be driving for a couple days” run.
  2. 87storms
    The nam is just our dry run for the globals.
  3. 87storms
    I don’t get paid to do this, but that map says (and has said) to me that suppression/sheared is still the more likely outcome. But if it cuts to Detroit, then I was just kidding.
  4. 87storms
    I’m getting hyped, but there’s a very high probability I will be checking back at 0z lol
  5. 87storms
    Just got back from Wegman’s near what I think is your old stomping ground…looked like it had been robbed. Feeling pretty good about this storm up this way, though I could see how Thurmont and north might do better than Frederick proper.
  6. 87storms
    Yep, shows how easily this system could get bullied south and become a sheared out system. Seems like anything from amped to modest to even a two-part system is on the table.
  7. 87storms
    Upper level map really is a lot different on the gfs compared to the euro and cmc. Who knows. Gfs output kinda makes more sense given the pattern we’re in as opposed to some ramped up low. I think that would ultimately end up an easy warning level snow, but looks nothing like a hecs at 500mb. Model mayhem continues.
  8. 87storms
    I wonder if the cmc and icon are underdoing the amount of dry air involved. Regardless, we’re in the euro and gfs’ world rn aka the important models.
  9. 87storms
    Yea it’s the new normal here. Looks like the sun might pop back out at least.
  10. 87storms
    Poncho for the when it changes over to fzra. Jk
  11. 87storms
    …and next week.
  12. 87storms
    I don’t think I’ll be playing outdoor basketball on Sunday
  13. 87storms
    It’s only Wednesday lol
  14. 87storms
    Looks like Frederick has an opportunity to make up ground from the last few years. Curious where in MoCo will be the dividing line. Seems like Gaithersburg to Columbia is often times the battleground for these fall line setups.
  15. 87storms
    Seems like solutions are converging on at least several inches to start, so the first step in this competitive sport seems to be nearing completion. Next step is where the primary low ends up.
  16. 87storms
    Canadians have a north bias
  17. 87storms
    Dec 09 also was modest until the coastal took over. Different systems but two-part systems are pretty common here.
  18. 87storms
    I know…I don’t even feel like watching the rest of the runs lol. We basically have a bowling ball Pacific low colliding with an Arctic dome. That was one of the best gfs runs I have ever seen for this area irt the shear size of this system.
  19. 87storms
    It’s absurd lol
  20. 87storms
    Surface map is honestly kind of majestic. Still a few days out, but it’s a classic setup, assuming it holds and stuff.
  21. 87storms
    Jet dynamics are mostly carbon copy of 6z. This is gonna be a wrecking.
  22. 87storms
    I can’t be the only that hasn’t loved the look at h5. I’m used to seeing a closed low south of us for the biggies. But science Is science and a snowstorm is a snowstorm. Just makes me pause a bit until all the Euro and GFS really start to converge.
  23. 87storms
    Growing up in Silver Spring, sleet was usually the price to be paid for a juiced up EC storm. Less worried about that scenario in Frederick (unless this system cuts like Feb 94) and looks like everyone closer to the fall line gets an overrunning thump anyway. We’re in the Euro’s money range. Today’s runs will be important.
  24. 87storms
    Yea, it’s one of the more wild storm outputs I’ve seen lol.
  25. 87storms
    So per my storage unit company (which just sent out a notice about the storm), this winter storm is called Fern. Oy vay.
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