87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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The Friday system is moisture starved and the Sunday one is basically a cold front with most of the energy further north: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2025120918&fh=114 I guess we can find a way into a light snow event from both systems, but the real snow producers are when we get some southern stream influence which has been really hard to come by in these neck of the woods.
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Got a bike ride in after work partly to test my tolerance for these temps and it was actually kinda refreshing until halfway thru when I could barely feel my fingers. I even took a hand warmer with me. I probably could use warmer gloves, but yea, it's cold outside and this was probably below my threshold.
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Sun has started poppin' out here. I dig it.
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That sucks, I'm gonna really miss these frigid temps and occasional cartoppers. But actually I'll be out west during that time, so it probably will end up snowing here.
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The late week clippers have the weekend rule going for them. I completely disregarded that when downplaying their impacts. I’m much more bullish on this now.
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Now that’s fun: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=uv250&runtime=2025120818&fh=354 This is Sunday: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=uv250&runtime=2025120818&fh=138
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Chasing snow might be the only option left. At least until the nor’easter at the end of the gfs run.
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Definitely not something worth investing a lot of time into. If it snows, great.
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Meanwhile, it doesn't look that bad so far on the 18z.
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Not really seeing the boom with the upcoming weekend thing. Just doesn't have that southern stream influence that the Friday and today's system has. Kinda seems Miller B'ish. On the plus side, it's only Monday.
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Luckily for the snow starved region, the Wizards winning percentage is probably higher than the CMC at this range.
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It's cold enough to snow here, but too cold to snow. Perfect vort pass for the Roanoke to Richmond crew.
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Warm/wet, cold/dry was definitely what occurred with the last two systems imby, that's for sure.
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I tend to agree. The 12/2 system was another flag. It was literally in the 20s the evening that precip was set to arrive lol. I also think this area is more prone to drought now especially if northern stream systems are going to be further north. At a certain point, it becomes less of a trend and more of a question of whether this is the new base state. Time will tell. It's early in the season, but so far it's a lot of the same.
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Nah, he would also have to shoot on a double rimmed hoop with no net. Might still make it, though.
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One benefit to living in one of the worst snowfall areas in the region is that I was able to test my new bike (Trek FX2). Needed something different for pavement. Chilly out, but not that cold.
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Looks like the southern stream is going dormant again this week. Maybe we can weasel our way into a clipper/screamer/mauler later in the week with that next shot of arctic air.
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My cousin at WVU said they got 4", though he's also not the type that will be going out to measure it lol. Surprised at some of the totals south of DC...fruitful event, but thought Fredericksburg was gonna end up with 5-6" based on how well radar looked earlier.
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So when is the next dusting for Frederick?
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Looks like we’re gonna tap out at a coating here, which quite honestly is more than I expected given the dry air in place. Fairly productive week in the precip department.
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Aggressive dusting here accumulating on every surface.
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Light dusting has made its way to Frederick.
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We will take our La Niña 0.01 precip in northern md and we will like it.
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This one is a next’er up here. Radar looks good for RT 50 south.
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One thing is for sure, it's going to snow...not rain or sleet...but snow. Because it's legitimately cold out. Mazel tov to those further south. I will enjoy my veiled sunshine here in Frederick while I count the crystals sporadically scattered across the hoods of cars. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G19&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
