Miller As are typically more consolidated. Miller Bs tend to have a coastal transfer/screw job. There was upper level energy diving in from the Midwest which was the spark. I agree that it doesn’t need to be all or none, so whatever it was…the cold air took too long to arrive.
Multiple caution flags leading in…it’s late February, not late January; it was mild yesterday; there was no strong high to the north; it was a Miller B; we were relying on the NT that is probably not well understood by most ppl here; and the euro (aka the best model in the world) was meh on this system all week.
We need things to be simpler. This one simply required too many things to go right.
I should be complaining here instead, so I will. Yes, storm is not over, but I was under a winter storm warning that began at 3pm and have wet pavement so far. It goes to show, some types of systems still expose modeling errors.
2.2” in Frederick might be aggressive at this point lol. This is a top 5 storm bust for me so far and relying on radar returns from the northeast is not the path to victory. Congrats to those who scored. I’ve officially accepted defeat. It is at least sort of snowing here now, but absolutely no accumulation so far and radar looks awful up this way. Ya win some ya lose some.
Just saw that. Looks like the coastal is a little further east than we want, which the euro was hinting at all week. Guess we’ll find out tomorrow lol. We can typically score with a good ull pass, which is still on the table.
Starting to think a screw job is on the table for my area and maybe parts of northern md. We’ll see. It is early, but this storm basically sucks so far (yes, I know it’s early).
Thought it was gonna be a full flip here, but once I got below 500’ and then back home it’s still like a 50/50 mix. Very rate and elevation dependent event so far.
Problem is it’s not snow. Getting to the point of wasting qpf and there’s puddles everywhere. Ain’t nothing gonna accumulate here for hours. Hopefully the ULL delivers later…I think it will for a few hrs which is what I’m saving my energy for.