87storms

Just posted this in another thread. Saw it on LinkedIn. Should have looked here first lol. That’s quite a speed increase re AIGFS.

Maybe posted already, but discusses the NOAA AI models… https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models

It’s a competitive sport, though…and I want to be on the winning side.

My neighbors are gonna love that I left my balcony furniture out and I won’t be back for another 10 days.

I actually had a fairly vivid dream last night about a 6-10” snowfall. Weird hobby.

Seems more like base climo at this point. It’s been cloudy, too, in this fast flow. My buddy confirmed that he’s only made 398kwh this December compared to 1100 last December.

We need blocking. These NS waves are cute for a day or two, but this area needs a region-wide snowstorm with overrunning moisture from the south on top of a slow moving, dense dome of arctic air blocked by a downstream traffic jam.

I actually get the occasional blizzard dream and we are due. I might regret selling my jeep in a month or two.

There’s a 100% chance of something and a 0% chance that anyone knows with 100% certainty.

Definitely took an anomalous pattern to get December cold and snow in the east. Been record breaking warmth in the southwest (where I’m currently at for the next week or two). Usually in the upper 50s in Vegas this time of year, but it’s been close to 70 each day so far since I arrived last week. I think the Rockies are also below normal snowfall so far. I’d like to see a “normal pattern” develop in January…one in which Frederick can get a warning level snowfall from an ol’ TN Valley wave and a blocking high to the north. TBD

Just played ball in 65 and sunshine here in southern Nevada and just peeked at the radar. Looks like a snow shower moving thru FDK? Do I miss it? Nope lol. Will I be ready for a snowstorm when I get back in a week or two? Yep. Though I guess it looks like a milder pattern incoming there for a bit.

Clarksburg is an underrated microclimate.

It’s early, but starting to think this is gonna end up a northern MD special…including Frederick.

Always gotta be a little cautious on the leeward side of these types of systems. The Apps are hungry mountains.

The post snowfall downer after the tracking upper is a thing. I find going on a hike, taking pics, or something can shift the mindset.

I don’t care too much for snow on the ground beyond a couple days, but fresh snow on snow looks kinda awesome.

Watching from afar. Looks almost like a squall like scenario. Definitely would feel better in northeast md for this one, but looks like an advisory event incoming at least. Once I get this sunny and 70 weather (completely opposite weather pattern in Vegas) out of my system I’ll be ready for a snowstorm lol. Good luck to the Frederick crew…would be happy to see that area get on the board with something other than a cartopper. 3 hrs behind here so I’ll prob peep the radar later.

That's awesome. I cleaned up my verbiage because I do like MoCo lol (I grew up there and lived there for most of my life), but yea the traffic/COL is legit. Even the construction in Frederick is wild. When I first moved here I was concerned there wouldn't be enough to do, but now I'm like this is absurd...there's neighborhoods going up all around the NW side of Detrick and the only real plan I see is to widen Rt 15 which will take years to complete once they start (if they start). I've only driven past Roanoke, but it looked cool...nice little town nestled in the mountains. Rough life lol. Snow is fun, but you can always chase it (though you certainly don't need to this month with that Colorado lifestyle in progress).

I’ll be watching from Henderson, NV. It’s gonna suck having 65-70 degree temps and sunshine. But honestly, I do want a snowstorm…just don’t think it’s physically possible in our area without a more active southern stream.

Moving to SW VA is looking like a forward-thinking, winning decision.

I'll be out west this weekend. Looks like I won't be missing much. Northern areas need a complete pattern change. Hopefully by January we get some real snowstorms instead of this NS nickel and dime stuff.

We will accept our downsloping snow shower in Frederick and we will like it.

Award winning photos tbh

This storm is important for the well-being of Northern MD inhabitants. Precip output gives redeveloping off the coast vibes, but enough to keep interested.

It’s like a mini version of Colorado’s two winters per season. Data nerd recommendation…a relative stacked bar (or line) chart based on the past 20 years with the separations based on the different deviations from average temps on that date.