87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Just kinda looks like that southern feature runs too far out ahead of the northern stream energy. Maybe the coastal can develop quick enough to throw some moisture overhead as the main ull swings thru.
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It’s legitimately windy right now. Just experienced it.
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That too, but I think we just really need a return of the stj. Met a friend at Charles Town today and noticed the Potomac and Shenandoah looked pretty low.
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Trough is too far north and east…like always now. But at least we get wind.
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Saw it roll right off Catoctin. I got skimped, though.
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The next weekend thing looks like it has more potential with what seems to be better moisture return from the gulf. Trusting a moisture-starved system without having cold air locked in prior is risky business. We’re better at cold air chasing anafrontal systems, right?
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Any thoughts on severe season?
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We need the gom to wake up.
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Ew lol
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The primary theme seems to be that things get going too late due to the trough being too far east.
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Yea I remember that vort being a compact fireball at h5 riding up from the southwest.
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It’s not on the weekend either.
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We’re due for a successful implementation of cold chasing a late phasing Miller B
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He lives out towards Ashburn, so kind of in the same microclimate as me. He was a legit aviation met, so I picked his brain a bit when I saw him in the office, but I don't think he tracks these types of storms like we do lol (though does root for snow).
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My previous coworker (who I've kept in touch with) was an operational forecaster for years and said it could be a messy mix changing to snow. Likes the potential, but it depends on how much cold air gets wrapped in behind the low.
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What’s clear is that the wimpy warmup we had this week is looking temporary. Winter seems to be returning next week to the chilly base state we’ve had since September.
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That actually has my attention.
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Phenomenal precip event here and it’s nudged me to have a solidly productive morning. The only snag is that this would have been an easy warning level snowstorm if temps were 10-15 degrees colder…which is a lot, I suppose lol.
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You mean you don't trust a bombogenesis, early phasing Miller B?
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Yea, I'd wait until the Euro throws that type of solution our way. GFS and Euro aren't really that much different at the upper levels, but the GFS is waffling between going full tilt versus a more common solution from the Euro (late phaser). We're due for uncommon, though.
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I was actually gonna bike, but thought I’m about to get poured on, so I decided to clean instead. So far, the rain is definitely lighter than the returns would imply.
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Rain in January…the way only Central MD can do. Radar looks great, though.
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Yea, the southern stream just isn’t there when we need it. Looks like we’re dealing with Miller Bs next week. Meh.
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Trae Young and top 8 pick to the rescue?
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January happened
