87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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One of the more common forecast errors is predicting sun after a storm passage. We’re generally miserable at that because there always seems to be too much residual moisture as the cold air filters in.
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Wind was really cranking for a bit last night. My balcony furniture is all huddled up in a corner.
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Seems like things played out this way. Little more energy with the last round, but the evening arrival may have lessened the impact
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Few rumbles with this latest round.
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That would still make it a step ahead lol
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Damn, that's a dicey situation lol. Mama bears are no joke. Catoctin blue is legit...I like riding the Blue to VW/Knucklebuster loop, and when I feel like torturing myself I'll ride up Three Saws and down Catovid. Fun trails there...my bike is currently in the shop (spring cleaning).
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Top shelf downpour in progress by March standards.
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That's always a fun sound when biking lol. My head is also on a swivel when biking the watershed ever since I saw a black bear scurry across Hamburg road.
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Having a southerly component to the flow is helping Frederick so far today. Minimal downsloping issues. Decent line about to move through.
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GFS truly does seem to be behind the Euro by a day when we get to the 5-6+ day range. I don't know what/how they feed the Euro, but it's just the goat of the models at this point.
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Nice rain here...nothing too heavy. Wind is there, but nothing too crazy yet. Loving the humidity, though. I was getting tired of the dry weather.
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Is everyone's lawn chair ok?
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I’m 100% all in on an El Niño. I may need to start tracking downwelling off the Pacific Coast.
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The center of the low tomorrow will be moving through Chicago. We will get our breezy line of showers with a couple of rumbles of thunder and we will like it.
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GFS solution looks kinda weird...the system seems too amped up given the weak high pressure to the north.
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I really have a hard time calling that last storm a fail on the level that some here imply. Pretty sure the digital snow peaked on Saturday and just about every model run after that clearly hinted that the storm could slide south. The upper level setup was always suspect and, at the end of the day, the storm took the path of least resistance with simply too much of a cold air push.
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Looks like this might be the last cold morning for a while. Beautiful day on tap.
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I’m hyped
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Pretty wild how quickly winter ended. Thought we’d see another period to track, but it’s looking winter is wraps at this point. Gotta root for an El Niño next year.
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Chilly day, but the clear skies are a win. The March sun is legit, too…noticing it while driving.
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Yes. The drought is not a fluke when looking at the general storm track the last few years which has included a lot of ns systems scooting to the north and southern sliders (or so it seems)…and the ones that are primarily w-e come with downsloping and all that fun stuff.
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The cold air clouds are rolling through now. It’s impressive how such a relatively low mountain chain like the Catoctin’s can enhance the cloud deck. It happens frequently when the wind shifts out of the nw…La Nina’s favorite pattern.
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I want to say winter is a wrap, but March can provide sneaky events. With that said, there is absolutely nothing to track right now except the midweek t-storm potential, cherry blossoms and March Madness seeding.
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…I should add both times were from hoops (pushing off on my right foot). But yea, getting older and wear/tear is a thing. It’s all about prep and recovery.
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Yea it’s weird…both times I felt a pull/tear feeling, but both times it’s healed fairly quickly. The feeling of a rock in my calf has subsided after a few days. I have noticed a bit of a weakness in my Achilles over the last year (oddly can notice it if doing pushups I guess from the stretching) and that’s not a game I want to play, so I’m gonna take it slower getting back this time.
