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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. Lightening up quite a bit here for now. Looks like the models targeting moco/hoco (aka precip magnets) were spot on.
  2. Just took a stroll around the hood. Measured 2.5” on my way back. Upwards of 6” in shaded spots from the previous event. I’m about 3 miles nw of dt Frederick.
  3. Just measured 2” in a couple spots. Chilly out there with a little breeze lol
  4. I’m relying on Martinsburg to Hagerstown to keep the bands flowing.
  5. Nice, steady snow has returned with healthy looking dendrites.
  6. Challenge accepted. Once it gets light out, I’ll prob check things out again. I could see things staying light. Radar seems to have overshot or just not catching some of the lighter returns from these past couple events, for whatever reason (lower clouds, etc, not sure).
  7. Little less than I would have expected, but a long duration light snow from here on is acceptable.
  8. Radar is inspiring for Frederick.
  9. Just went outside to investigate…better flake size than I expected since radar showed me being on the northern edge of the goods. I’d say about 1.5” so far…unofficially.
  10. Just woke up to a snowy scene in Frederick. Foggy/misty snow out there.
  11. It just feels cold enough to snow lol. Stations around me are generally 28/20
  12. Yep, that matches my records lol. I was living in downtown Bethesda at the time.
  13. You might be referring to 2014. We had 3 snowfalls spread out through the month. We did get one in early March '15, too. I took a rack of pics/vids from both of those winters...I've got a legit media diary of events from 2013 to 2019 lol.
  14. Tomorrow has potential to be one of the more wintry days we’ve had in a while. Cold/breezy with blowing snow in the forecast.
  15. The snow clouds were in full effect today.
  16. All it does now is snow and there's nothing we can do about it.
  17. The ones showing the highest QPF clearly have the best primitive equations and the most data points.
  18. Euro/Nam is a pretty good LR/SR combo. We've been doing well with QPF lately, too. The rest is TBD.
  19. When you look at the whole setup, the potential is there. Got a vort swinging through with a low developing off the coast of the Carolinas. This isn't a nor'easter, but if one or both vorts are stronger and further south than modeled, then there's a path to victory (via several inches). Looks like a daytime event (mostly) and should be powdery. Both of those are part of my grading criteria. Funny seeing people talk about winter grades yesterday because I was randomly thinking about that during my drive yesterday. Winter gets a C+ so far. This event could get it solidly into the B category. Also, I mentioned this before, but the idea of getting those rainers to get out of the drought followed by snowfall always seemed like an ideal situation. Creeks and streams are flowing better than I've seen in the past year.
  20. The purpose of this system is to recover the 1-2” lost via compaction and melting from the Monday storm.
  21. Ngl, next week's temps look kind of appealing. I want the next storm to be legit. Not sure if that happens this year, but we have had some qpf producers (creeks are flowing nicely around here)...just gotta find the right timing.
  22. Not much is gonna change less than 2 days before an event lol. Maybe we go from 1-2" to be squarely within 2-4". The last system trended well, but overall the models were pretty locked in on the stripe of snow being near dc to bmore...we just hit the top end of it, so hopefully we can do that again.
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