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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. Southern stream is still visible on the 18z, so that's encouraging. Whether there's a vort or not, is the next question.
  2. At minimum, it seems like 12z has been a hold so far. Light event is still on the table.
  3. Yea it’s been cranking here at times lol. Power just went out briefly, too.
  4. 12z Gfs still implies the potential for a coating to an inch somewhere along the 95 corridor.
  5. Squall line to minor event to secs/mecs…that’s the upcoming lesson plan.
  6. Alright, it’s time to roll up our sleeves and reel in this event in order to pave the way for the warning level potential later in the week.
  7. I had to take C programming in undergrad…quite the weed out class, though apparently it’s a good language to start on.
  8. Wind can really roll off the Catoctin’s here...some decent gusts have started moving through. Seeing some clearing to the west as well.
  9. We’re lowkey at the point where this system could start trending nw. Just sayin’
  10. I think that happens more with clippers or in a zonal flow. We just need the gom to be open for business when we get those little diggy NS vorts. Problem is we’ve had a helluva time getting those vorts to track further south.
  11. I believe it. Just need to establish cold for a few days. We’ve been A students at precip lately.
  12. Nao was positive overall in December unless you mean January…looks like it’s trending towards positive again.
  13. Got a bike ride in today over at Little Bennett. More muddy than I anticipated. Not the whole trail, but definitely some slick spots. Small streams were visible, too. Gonna be a healthy spring at this rate.
  14. Well, I didn’t say I liked it lol. But it seems workable for a light event. That’s my expectation for this one.
  15. Empirical analysis incoming (and just an opinion), but we’re typically not good at big snow on the front end of a cold snap bc the systems are usually NS dominant. We are, however, good at seeing flakes fly when we get an arctic front followed by a trackable system. If it’s just a quick hitting cold snap, that’s different, but this seems like (at minimum) a temporary pattern change.
  16. I think that Tuesday situation ends up a minor event (trough is too positive/progressive) with a follow-up wave to track by the end of the week. That’s my hunch. Wintry week incoming.
  17. Seems like Philly and nyc are in similar streaks.
  18. You can see how the trough is closer to 0z than 18z via the 250mb chart…too progressive, I guess.
  19. We seem to be on a precip heater...that's the main reason I'm bullish. I noticed last night there was a flood warning along the Monacacy, which isn't surprising because creeks around Gambrill have been flowing nicely since the last gully washer. I'm actually right next to an extension of Carroll Creek and even that's flowing again.
  20. I just remember being in awe at the size of the flakes through my window at night. I probably snuck downstairs to turn on our patio light about 10x lol. It was basically a long duration snow squall. I also think we were out of school for at least part of that week due to power outages.
  21. I've already accepted the fact that it's gonna snow next week.
  22. In hindsight, that was a helluva snow year lol...though Feb 87 is what my UN is named after. I remember that storm like it was yesterday. Just an outstanding, fluke snow blitz.
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