87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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24 hr QPF 0.5" line is south of DC and significantly worse than 6z...I'd be surprised if that much snow falls. The system gets going too late.
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It's a sheared out mess. The models have shown their hand. Gotta hope for a 4-6" event at this point.
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I think we've got high pressure in the wrong spot for this one. It's chasing this system out instead of helping to slow things down and reel in moisture off the Atlantic. As is, we might want an amped up southern stream and just hope we get clipped by the initial overrunning.
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Nam said to the globals, “Let me show you how it’s done.”
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Looks very similar to 12z...maybe ever so slightly east, but a slightly deeper coastal.
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The ss wave just can’t seem to gain enough latitude. It’s getting chased ots instead of phasing and lifting north. Not sure what causes that, but it always seems like a yellow flag for this area to have any kind of GL low, kicker, etc.
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Now watch the euro show 10” of powder over the dmv
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Yea, I think a snowstorm is still on the table…but it’s looking more zonal than some coastal stemwinder…which can still produce here.
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In other news…Mcclung. Agreed on the weather part, but think by 0z Monday we’ll know.
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lol, thing is…there isn’t a single lr model that looks awesome rn
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Reel it in…you’ve been hawking over this time period. I like that the gulf is involved and we’re not just relying on Atlantic moisture from the coastal.
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Miller b hybrid?
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Fun sports night as we wait for 0z
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I could see this system being further west if there’s more phasing since the high isn’t exactly parked over Quebec, though I still think this system has the most potential further northeast. The NS just doesn’t seem diggy enough for our latitude…at least for now. I think by 12z tomorrow the goalposts are gonna tighten enough that we’ll have a better idea of where the greatest max potential is.
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Derivative of prog with respect to time…unless it’s not differential calculus, then I was jk.
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It’s become incredibly difficult to get a closed ull south of our latitude.
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You guys weren't kidding about the cold smoke...2m temps are nippy. Absolutely zero temp issues along 95 with that run.
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I'm only 2 miles nw of Rt 15, so I'm going to classify myself as east.
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It could be like 50 miles further south, but yea that's going to shut things down for a couple days.
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You referring to this HECS look? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon®ion=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2025021518&fh=114
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Icon looks better than the gfs and euro at h5. If we can lock that solution in, we're winning.
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I think it’s just larger scale systems, so less room for chaos.
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This has turned into a majestic rain event.
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Need the NS upper level energy to dig further south or we’re looking at a congrats Boston. I’m retired from 3-6” snowfalls for the season…it’s go time.
