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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. It’s been pouring here the last 30 mins or so. Wouldn’t be surprised to see some localized flash flood warnings if it continues.
  2. well, at least for the time being, the storm looks like it's highly interested in the beltway and southern moco.
  3. and it was great for 13z. it'll change again at 15z. i think we need to get rid of these debris clouds, though.
  4. clouds have returned, but satellite shows clearing to the southwest.
  5. There’s certainly gonna be enough fuel. Plenty of sunshine now
  6. this has been a flagship storm for the season here. no hail here, but as close to severe as you can get, if not severe. i imagine dc will enjoy this one.
  7. torrential downpours and some seriously close lightning. decent gusts too.
  8. meaty storm moving through with a healthy amount of T&L
  9. this is a truly impressive amount of rain here. i have no doubt that some of the nearby gauges in bethesda will read 2"+ by tomorrow. i could see rising cloud tops this afternoon which made me think this could be the start of a line of storms, but didn't expect them to produce like this. not much wind, but there has been some lightning/thunder.
  10. absolute torrential downpour. there will be some severe reports from this line. i'm on the southern edge, but still getting my money's worth.
  11. cloud to ground lightning here. most energetic storm of the season in that regard.
  12. i don't know if it would classify as severe but got a pretty decent downburst, torrential rain (won't be surprised to see up to an inch here) and impressive lightning.
  13. strong storm moving through bethesda. this one is packing some vitamins.
  14. it's shaping up to be a stormy evening. nice sample just moved through...initial gusts, some torrents, and a fair amount of T&L.
  15. the sky had a very south florida look to it today with all the cumulus clouds around. water vapor/satellite/radar all look decent. would have liked to see things pop earlier, but hopefully some of these cells hold together to clear out some of this pollen.
  16. it's fascinating to me how many people are so desperate to refute man made climate change and its impacts. i have an idea...why don't we just pretend it exists just to be on the safe side?
  17. there appears to be more blocking in canada for that storm as opposed to this upcoming weekend where the system is just cutting through the path of least resistance into the midwest. timing will be key again. may even want that next system to slow down a notch.
  18. Didn’t want to say it, but I thought h5 looked awful even during the thump scenario. May just need some time for the pattern to shake out.
  19. It's the dumbest title ever..probably why you missed it lol, took me a minute to realize it was a storm thread and not a discussion about how bad the pattern is. as far as patterns are concerned, call me one of those who didn't see this coming after what was a pretty chilly start to the season. this is without a doubt as weak of a winter as last year so far (actually weaker because the mid january storm was great). on a side note, i enjoy the outdoors, so if it doesn't snow i'm ok with some hiking/biking weather.
  20. i think checking the models for digital snow beyond 5 days is still pretty much a time passer without much to show for it, but the oscillations are worth monitoring and +AO/-PNA isn't going to help things. we just need to hope that we enter our wheelhouse of snow (i think it's early jan thru feb) with the indices in our favor, otherwise we're relying even more on luck than normal. as far as dec/march is concerned, i can't imagine global warming is going to help us in that regard considering we're already a fringe snowtown to begin with, though i certainly can see the storms being more robust moving forward, so there's that.
  21. we had such a long run of wet/mild and even hot over the summer that i'm actually impressed we were able to switch so quickly in the fall to a pattern that could even remotely support snow. that said, i feel like we're only at normal/typical now and may need another favorable pattern nudge to get into a wintry pattern. nov/dec were pretty weak in the snow department, but they normally are, so i don't think we've wasted much during that transition period from a record breaking summer to a pattern that could support snow given the right track.
  22. looks like another band forming and headed towards mby.
  23. This is overperforming like some of our recent rainers. Double digits are in play if these rates continue for a couple more hours.
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