87storms

Well…at least we got in 1 week of true winter. How’s 24/25 looking? I’m kidding…sort of.

We’re due for a Manitoba Mauler/Ontario Scary-o.

Today’s weather has legendary potential.

We’re not a winter wonderland (by default). Just think about it…dca averages nearly 9” of liquid equivalent every winter. That means roughly 20% of qpf is snow (give or take)…so once every 4-5 storms (or 1 week per month) we should aim for snow. I’m just painting a general/realistic picture of the climate we’ve always had here while records have been kept. I’m actually more annoyed by the clouds this week than the warmup lol. Hopefully we can get back to increased snow chances in a week or two.

I keep it light here (and online now) for a reason. I used to post on nba forums and, in hindsight, some of the arguments were just silly. With that said, a little break usually resolves my tendency towards all or none thinking…probably 99 times out of 100 lol.

I might need to add COD satellite/wv to my rotation, at least as a backup. I've only been using it for radar.

I think we're gonna have another wintry period or two before the season's out and I don't think there's anything we can do about it.

Sounds like the monthlies might be based on a standard normal distro. Maybe the dailies are either based on a correlation or the value just simply can’t get as high as the normalized monthly value. I’m not sure, though…just brainstorming.

Having a respite from a wintry week is extremely normal here. We're not wall to wall like Montana. What's nice is the table has been set...we're not scrounging for a minor event anymore. We've got 2 of those in the bag including some localized stat padders. Now, it's just a matter of whether February delivers. I agree that chasing a mecs is rational given the higher pwats that usually arrive. I'm not a hecs chaser...those are too uncommon...when it happens, it happens.

No prob. Normally, I'm meh on snow flurries/showers aside from snow tv, but this was a legitimate snow squall. However, I think the mod/heavy portion was localized and only lasted a few minutes.

Yea, I was just looking it up (this area definitely got in on that squall): https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html?ql=station&zoom=&loc=39.403+N%2C+77.293+W&var=snowfall_48_h&dy=2024&dm=1&dd=15&dh=0&snap=1&o11=1&o9=1&lbl=m&mode=pan&extents=us&min_x=-80.316666666669&min_y=37.449999999996&max_x=-76.200000000002&max_y=39.766666666663&coord_x=++-77.293&coord_y=+++39.403&zbox_n=39.403722222218505&zbox_s=39.403722222218505&zbox_e=-77.29348958333543&zbox_w=-77.29348958333543&metric=0&palette=1&width=800&height=450&nw=800&nh=450&h_o=0&font=0&js=1&uc=0

It was probably a coating to a 1/2", but more than a trace here (at least more than 0.1", I'm pretty sure about that). It even started to accumulate on patches of the road.

Did you catch the 1/14 squall? At least imby, it coated the grass and was starting to accumulate on the road a little bit.

Thing is, we can rely on 3 seasons here, but winter is hit/miss. Having a winter with at least the standard 2-3 snowstorms completes the puzzle.

I got bullseye'd from that snow squall on Sunday, too. That one set the table. No complaints snow-wise...this was about as quality as it gets here for winter weather.

In honor of this week, I bought Avalanche amber ale from Breckenridge brewery.

This streamer was kind of ridiculous, tbh. It's been snowing for like 2 hrs from this band and still snowing lightly with noticeable flakes. I lucked out. Nice bookend to a wintry week.

This has been a flush hit. Still going here with large flakes.

This is prob gonna add another inch…maybe even a couple inches in Gambrill. Started sticking to the roads on my drive home.

Yes this is legitimately moderate.

Getting streamer’d. Stat padding in progress.

Sun is now peaking through here. Still very light snow as well. Let’s if any streamers can survive the hills.

There's gonna be 6-8" bullseyes at this rate somewhere in Central MD. That SW ended up beelining the region.

It's been pretty good here for the most part...I think I've been on the nw edge. Frederick reported 2" at 7am and up until 30 mins ago it was coming down steady to moderate at times.

Looks like a final reinforcement arrives in Frederick around Noon'ish. After that, then maybe some periodic snow showers into the evening. Wintry day.