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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. I've just been too busy the last couple weeks to track this system closely, but models definitely showed upwards of 0.4-0.5" of precip even down to DC. However, I wonder if some of the north trend had to do with temps/boundary setting up further north as opposed to "well, the storm just went further north". I mean, it did, but I get the vibe that it was at least partly due to it "just not being cold enough" here. Chicken vs egg situation, I guess.
  2. That was our seasonal bust, but it does look kinda cool out. May have weaseled into an official 2” here.
  3. This type of system has caused forecast problems since forever lol. Models have improved, but they still struggle at times with the mountains. No complaints, though…it snowed.
  4. I think I remember that one. It snowed for like 15 minutes and then stopped lol.
  5. And just like that, there’s a coating on cars here. Snowing steadily.
  6. I don’t hate how the radar looks for Frederick right now.
  7. Looks like either flurries or sprinkles here, per my window. Can’t see any snow yet.
  8. I’m pretty sure the HRRR incorporates radar trends into its forecast. It’ll prob tick up again once the radar fills in east of the mountains. It does this sometimes.
  9. It’s gonna snow and there’s nothing we can do about it.
  10. The Catoctin's continue to a powerhouse snow magnet. I like where I'm at for this, but it's definitely more chilly than cold leading in. 2-4" areawide still looks like a solid bet which is enough to make it look like winter.
  11. Started a new job last week and have a data analytics class that’s taking up my time, so this system would be a nice bookend to a busy last few weeks in my world. Side note…I’m hoping Richmond gets on the board to help my snowfall forecast.
  12. Another key ingredient is that the drought is all, but over. Creeks in and around Gambrill/Watershed are moving well.
  13. All bs, pessimism, reverse psychology, and whatever other mind tricks we play...the reality is that this winter is at least better than the last one...and there's still time to stat pad.
  14. I’m beginning to master the art of faux reverse psychology.
  15. It’s pretty much sticking to everything here. It’s simply snowing too hard for it not to lol. Doesn’t look like it’ll last too long, though.
  16. It’s ripping here lol. Some accumulations on roads, too.
  17. Exactly. Those backloaded winters were only backloaded on snow. There was cold air around for what seemed like November thru March.
  18. Honestly, any winter that starts slow (like this one) is an immediate flag to me. I’m not surprised at all by this outcome so far and was one of the reasons I went low on snowfall. Now watch us get a March hecs.
  19. My new job allows wfh Monday’s and the owner of the company has worked in aerospace. I should talk to her about this lol.
  20. I’d rather there not be cc and I’m all about the seasons, but I do find it funny how we root for temperatures that require a couple layers of clothing. Snow is awesome, but 70 degrees is a lot more comfortable than 30 lol. I’m all for going green, but I’m actually more concerned with how dirty we’ve made this planet with all the plastic, etc. We’ve left a mark, that’s for sure.
  21. Little shower moved through during my mtb’ing, but nothing dramatic. Kinda felt good, if anything lol.
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