jm1220

It’s their climatology not luck. They average more than double or triple the snow we do and it can easily snow into April. We’ve been spoiled but we’re going back to the era where it sucks to be a snow lover here. Is what it is.

You can really only go by climo at this point and that says the further SW you go the more likely there is to be sun. But it’s really anyone’s guess. I’ll be in FL for the eclipse so for me it’ll only be 50-60% partial but it would suck obviously to spend $1000+ on hotels/airfare etc and stuck in traffic for a cloudy day. Such a crapshoot. So I would stay in the Northeast just for that reason and go by car. I looked up flights to Austin for the hell of it and round trips are over $800 and hotels I’m sure are sold out.

That’s pretty close to the SE ridge just hooking up with the NAO block which would mean a mega cutter.

Interesting to see next week whether this bowling ball storm happens for New England and how far south the bowling ball can get. There’ll likely be a ton of snow north of that closed upper low. For us I’m sure it just means tons more rain but maybe I-90 and north should keep an eye on it. This blocky NAO pattern which of course shows up right on time to nasty up the spring makes that more likely.

West of I-95 the rain looks mostly done. Unfortunately probably plenty more east of there, looks like the batch currently over DE will reach Queens on East anyway.

The NAM snow is fun to look at but won’t happen at least near the city. Maybe far northern areas in the hills. The RGEM 12z which hasn’t been sniffing glue went west a little also but no snow.

Awesome, keep it going.

It’s 320 hours out. Who knows how conditions end up that far out.

RGEM looked pretty far east with the rain late week. Good. Keep it away

If there’s a big closed off low east of us the only result will be easterly winds and low clouds. We’d want some kind of westerly flow to warm us up and keep it dry.

Shows up right on schedule to trash the start of spring.

One or two more of these and we’ll spontaneously transform to a rainforest. The water table’s so high that I’m sure many basements will start flooding with any more rain much less 2-3”+.

For the Valentines Day 2007 storm I lived in Central PA. That's exactly what it was-probably 8" of snow in 3" of sleet. 4" of snow then the sleet and 4" at the end that added up to 10-12" of absolute cement. Temps were in the teens to around 20 the whole storm. That seriously was the heaviest, densest concrete I remember falling out of the sky. It froze solid and lasted for weeks. In other parts of the state it was so disruptive that major roads/interstates shut down because it's so hard to move. I think in that storm much of this subforum had a big ice event. Much of upstate NY/NNE had 24"+ which I would've much rather experienced, but all the dense sleet made what I had probably just as disruptive. The St Patricks Day 2007 storm I was home on Long Island and remember the insane amount of sleet from that one. So that month long period I saw more sleet than any other time in my life.

Albany lucked out with 5-6" at the end but ouch that 20 miles or so north never mixed and got 18".

@uofmiami Did you send your rain total to Upton? Most recent amount they have for Syosset is 3.7”.

3.8” for me, over 4” very close by. Syosset I think ended with 4.2” and all NYC sites over 3”. Any more of these and the island will sink under.

Larkfield Rd in Commack closed from flooding. At least this time it didn’t shut down Jericho Turnpike. Huntington Village flooded pretty good too, that’s where there were amounts over 4”. Otherwise getting pretty gusty now.

Another very stormy Nino March.

Adding up the hourly totals at JFK I got 3.12", LGA 3.44", Central Park 3.63 and EWR 2.86" (missing data?)

Looks like 3.8" will do it here. Kudos to the HRRR for nailing the heavy rain just north of the warm front and developing band with the cold front. Still have 7 days left with many/most of us over 10" now for the month.

Even better, tonight it will probably get below 30 here. Wonder how much of this will ice up. Still raining moderately. Closest gauge to here says 3.48". Seeing 4.02" in Huntington Village just north of here and some over 4" in N Nassau.

That heavy band is the front/wind shift line.

Absolutely dumping here in that band. My backyard's drowned.

Heavy rain band w/the front that was advertised on the hi-res models is getting together and coming east. Yard is a pond again and more to come. We're turning into a rainforest.

Definitely a big event for Glens Falls/Lake George area. Good for them. Downpouring here currently. I'll probably make it to 3". We'll see what happens further east where the relatively spared zone's been so far.