jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Light snow just started in Long Beach.
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Models show the precip weakening as it heads east of the city which would kill the potential more than temps. Models actually have it around freezing on the western half of LI just away from the ocean, and heavier rates would crash the temps quick. However they also show the precip weakening east of the city. The longer the time over water on the SW wind the more the temp might spike.
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Drive 15 miles east and snow goes up by 15”?
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And that’s probably the best winter we ever experience unless we move to Buffalo or Syracuse. Hopefully we get a nice 2-3 week period where we make the opportunities happen, but almost certainly we’ll have to deal with the 2-3 week relaxed period after. In maybe another once in a lifetime period Newark had 60” in a one month period from the Boxing Day 2010 blizzard to the Jan 27 2011 thunder snow 18” event. That’s the king of making it happen winter!
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We never have a wall to wall cold snowy winter at our latitude-we had the later Jan thaw in 1996 for example and in 2011 we shut completely off after 2/1. The key is maximizing the snow output when it’s cold enough and the pattern’s favorable. Hopefully this upcoming Jan pattern has the pieces in place and we can have a good outcome. Our chances are better if we don’t have to rely on a fast northern stream to spawn something in time for our longitude, or be stuck with lousy SWFEs and we get help from the Gulf.
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6-8 degrees around my neighborhood.
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Down to 12 now.
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Down to 15. I have a good chance at dropping below 10 I think.
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Late December has been shooting up faster in temps in the last 20 years than early-we almost always get a big warmup around now. This is a refreshing change and with actual snow on the ground even better.
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The snow cover will help with radiating too-if we keep winds calm. Temps having trouble getting over 20 here, like how late Dec should be!
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And they’re the low total as usual. Other places in Manhattan had 2-3”. Boggles my mind how it’s used as NYC’s official total.
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So far it hasn’t even hit 30.
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Long Beach looks like it had 1-2” with nothing stuck on pavement from what I can see. Anyway we’ll see how temps recover with the sun coming out. If we don’t spike above freezing the sun likely won’t melt much. What melts will mostly come from the ground still being warm.
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Some flurries still but that should be it. Just measured 2.7-2.8" on the tabletop so with the brief slush yesterday it's about 3" for the event. Very nice!
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I think all NYC sites had a T. Up here it was around an inch maybe a little less.
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I have almost 4" with the about 1" from the last overnight event. Not too shabby. And definitely a positive bust-I was expecting a coating at best when I woke up.
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Models seem to keep us around freezing until the bottom falls out and like Allsnow said, this is the lowest sun angle of the year. We'll see. The ground being warm might melt some from below.
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And for once a cold snap without brown ground so that means the cold will likely overperform too. My street's pretty messy, haven't been to Jericho Tpke yet.
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Hopefully at least here there's some left. I measured 2.5" a little while ago and still decent snow coming down.
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Light snow ongoing. Just measured 2.5" on the table top on the deck. 2.7" for the event so far with the brief 0.2" in the weenie band yesterday. Everything snowcovered. Counting the about 1" from the last overnight event I'm at 3.5" or so on the season. Beautiful scene!
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Yep, snow finally advancing east. Hopefully has some staying power.
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Boston up to 5.2". Philly airport has 0.1" but I think the north side of town had 1-2". E PA north of Philly has 2-4". Trenton has 2.3".
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Our window of opportunity east of the city looks to be from around 5-7am. It'll be cold enough so what we do get will stick. HRRR seems to regenerate some of the snow as the trough pulls east.
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Radar making the slightest of moves east but echos look pathetic. I just want this out of here at this point so we can move on to the next round of wasted 3 day cold. Maybe I’ll wake up to a coating.
