jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Up to 93.
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Mid 90s in central Nassau. 90 here.
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Up here the evenings have been great on these Ambrose Jet days. Nice breeze and temps despite still feeling humid. On the beaches though I’m sure it’s been sandblasting windy which is no fun.
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Once again today S wind gusts to near 40 at JFK. Wow.
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“Nino” and “Nina” at least traditionally defined are becoming less relevant since about 5 years ago when we switched to this Western Pacific on fire regime, which keeps the elements of Nina in place during the winter regardless of the official regime, since Nina patterns are as much about the W Pacific condition as much as the E Pacific. It keeps a rampaging Pacific jet going and as a result either very brief or nonexistent cold coming far south from Canada, and favorable tracks for storms unable to get established-for a good nor’easter here that can snow you need the pattern to relax at least a bit and the SE Ridge (which has also been rampaging) to be present but muted enough to not force an inland track. 2020-21 did get the MJO out of the unfavorable phases enough to allow windows for more favorable outcomes here but it’s been the rarity since this new W PAC regime started. N New England down to I-90 and the Midwest do just fine in these patterns that promote cutters and with a Nina once again developing officially I’d be excited/optimistic if I lived in Michigan too. Unfortunately here looks very much like another stinker. Our one hope is the high ACE and maybe the Nina can be more East based. I never thought though that NYC with a 30” snow average like we came close to with the new 91-20 averages was sustainable-we had to pay the piper sooner or later. Until the W PAC cools down so this ridiculous Pacific jet slows down we’re very likely screwed where I am and on south. And probably most near I-80 and south.
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Syosset area getting pounded. There should probably be a flood advisory there. Edit-just saw it lol.
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Just had a quick downpour here and rumbles of thunder. Looks like some kind of boundary fired up storms just away from the north shore.
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North shore/around the LIE has been lucky with rain so far. In Long Beach grass is brown. Enjoying the low humidity for once.
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Don’t remind me about the R/S line nightmares. At least now in this perma-Nina we’re all suffering.
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Numerous times driving up to the Roosevelt Field area/Mineola and having the window down in Long Beach to needing to blast the AC up there. Especially in April-June.
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Starting to clear up a little here and noticeably less humidity already.
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Winds are turning NW now so humidity should be decreasing. Tomorrow looks much better.
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Downslope from numerous wind directions there and no large body of water to modify the air. As someone who lived in a place where it’s 100+ almost every day in the summer, trust me you don’t want to be part of that unless you’re a masochist.
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Any rain over the summer unless it’s a large scale synoptic system is widely scattered. I happen to be lucky this summer but others develop flash droughts.
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Looking forward to getting this soupy airmass out of here. Fri/the weekend look great.
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Heavy shower in Melville.
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Up to about 0.7”.
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Woodbury/Plainview area might have 1". I have about 0.33".
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Looks like some heavier showers moving onto the south shore. Some light drizzle in the gross humidity earlier.
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As long as that area east of Japan is still on fire I’m very bearish on any kind of decent East winter at least south of I-90. That’s rip roaring Pacific jet garbage like we’ve had.
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Yep even with the dew point at 65 it might as well be the desert compared to the soup over the last week.
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Been very hit or miss. Relying on these lines of storms that die off east of the city 98% of the time doesn’t often do it. I’ve been lucky for once. Looking forward to the lower humidity for a few days before the steam bath returns.
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Drenching again.
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Approaching 1.5” here today. And looks like I'm about to get hit again.
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If you’re in Brightwaters you’re probably still in it, there are cells firing behind the outflow boundary. The line of course is dying out east of the city but hopefully many in Suffolk still get something out of it.
