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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Absolutely pouring with a couple rumbles of thunder.
  2. jm1220
    Centerport to Mineola area getting slammed. Poured here for a minute before the line pushed north.
  3. jm1220
    According to RadarScope places west of there around Glen Cove over to Bayville should be over 4”.
  4. jm1220
    Also N Nassau up to 4-5” today.
  5. jm1220
    Should be clipped here by the southern end of the line. Thankfully the stuff over CT looks a lot weaker than earlier rain but of course they can’t take one more drop.
  6. jm1220
    Must be obscenely heavy rain over Yonkers/Bronx.
  7. jm1220
    Maybe the worst of these storms over the Bronx can head over the sound instead of the worst hit rain areas. Maybe an outside chance it can clip the N Shore on its way east.
  8. jm1220
    Yup, as if it’s not bad enough there. Looks headed NE right for them.
  9. jm1220
    Looks like if anything these storms might hit the same areas again in CT. The orientation looks headed that way and east of the city might stay dry.
  10. jm1220
    Must be some kind of warm front or other boundary that keeps back building the rain. This will be their version of our 8/13/2014 flood.
  11. jm1220
    Models have another round of rain tonight with whatever fires today and front pushing east. Hopefully for SW CT's sake that misses them. Nice drink today for Nassau-up to 3" in some spots including the very south shore that usually gets missed.
  12. jm1220
    Just had a pretty nasty downpour-up to about 1.3".
  13. jm1220
    Few drops here.
  14. jm1220
    Halfacane. Dry air absolutely wrecked this one, now shear is in for the kill.
  15. jm1220
    This should go on Ernesto’s Wikipedia page as its official obituary. Well done!
  16. jm1220
    Can see the smoky haze today for sure.
  17. jm1220
    Much drier now-feels great outside. Bye bye gunk.
  18. jm1220
    If it would’ve had 8 more hours to strengthen over water off NC and came in at 110-120 mph, we would’ve been in serious trouble given how fast it came north. Would’ve likely still been a solid Cat 1.
  19. jm1220
    It depends. Isaias was very high impact on LI despite almost no rain. Gusts to hurricane force and many trees down. Debby was a weak TS when it came in, Isaias was a near Cat 2 and did track further east, was also quicker up the coast and wasn’t able to degrade as much. But in general any tropical system going west of us at this latitude will have little rain, but much more wind especially near the coast. There was no inversion so a stronger system would’ve meant damaging wind. Even with this we had gusts into the 40s here and the strongest winds in the whole system most likely.
  20. jm1220
    5-8” widespread would be a very big deal yes which is what was predicted 4 days ago. Like you said the track went left and the stalled front a couple days ago was I think more hit or miss than expected. I have maybe 1.25” or so for this combined event, maybe a couple tenths more with whatever showers come tonight. But a 20 minute drive west of me got pounded during the stalled front event and has up to 5”. Quite breezy here, lots of small branches down. Pretty big branch fell on a neighbor’s fence.
  21. jm1220
    Basically another Ambrose Jet day with some showers tonight, then clearing out for the weekend. Should be nice.
  22. jm1220
    One more day of tropical gunk brought north by Debby.
  23. jm1220
    The radar is a little deceiving, even the green echos over me were moderate rain.
  24. jm1220
    Ireland Express lol. Put the watches up now for Dublin?
  25. jm1220
    I can’t think of a tropical system ever at our latitude that had more than some scattered rain bands east of the center. I wouldn’t expect more than some breezy showers. It might be a different story inland where the SE winds are in an upslope direction and there might be more organized heavy rain.
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