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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    When the air we have is coming from the garbage Pacific and it’s still early Dec...
  2. jm1220
    If you live in Boston I think you end up fine in the end, not as good as inland MA obviously but a few good hours as the storm leaves and you get 5-6”, which can happen easy if there’s a good CCB band. Could be worse, there’s zero hope where I live. Nothing but growing puddles and cold wind.
  3. jm1220
    PA over 12000 cases today.
  4. jm1220
    I thought it was pretty slam-dunk for at least a big time event for NYC with the Euro being so stout. That definitely busted and it started a trend of the Euro being a little too wound up with these storms. It was also a little afterglow for how well it did with Sandy while other models had it going into RI.
  5. jm1220
    The crazy CCB band pivoting through can drop that in 2 hours. Looks like BOS at least sees that at this point on these runs today. Anyway, enjoy whatever happens. Our fate’s definitely sealed for a cold nasty rain event here. If only this was 5-8 degrees colder.
  6. jm1220
    Seems pretty straightforward-cold rainstorm here but colder air and better development by then switches interior New England to snow. CCB develops and pivots east to slam Boston before departing. Guess it’ll be cool to watch and see the New England forum explode but I’m beyond over the lousy windy rainstorms. Maybe we can pull out a miracle with the system behind it which could be a nice event with a little more spacing. Crazy how it’s happening with them in the mid 50s this afternoon.
  7. jm1220
    As you said it would be a crippling blizzard area wide with a moderately colder airmass. And maybe if this was a month later it could find its way there but just too much Pacific garbage to overcome.
  8. jm1220
    From Queens/Nassau east I wouldn’t classify that as a miss. Nassau had 12” at the Queens border to 18” at the Suffolk border and 20+ east of Rt 112 just about. Long Beach had 15”. Of course I was living in TX at the time and missed this as well as the monster Jan 2016 storm.
  9. jm1220
    They’ve always been way more favored for snow than our area. Been pointed out many times how they can benefit from marginal setups and late-developers like this one seems to be. The only real setup where we’re favored are mod-strong suppressed El Niño’s like 15-16.
  10. jm1220
    The only way we get any snow is if the CCB really blossoms over our area and can bring some cold air down for a time. If it develops too late (which is likely) it’ll be a cold rain that we watch develop into a big snow event as it does get together for New England including possibly Boston.
  11. jm1220
    And yes if the airmass was a little colder this would be 12-18" for the whole forum. That's a classic track on the GFS (for the Sat storm).
  12. jm1220
    If you wanted some miraculous way for snow to make it to the coast, the GFS is how you'd do it. It's likely too warm at the surface like always. Wouldn't be significant but could be a quick 2-3" in the CCB it develops.
  13. jm1220
    We need the lousy mild Sat storm out of the way as much as possible for a chance at the next one. Looks like there could be a phase there but there’s little space for baroclinic zone recovery and it could be forced out to sea of it happens too soon after. The airmass does look a lot better if it can happen though.
  14. jm1220
    Maybe. Looking more and more like a late developer that slams eastern New England like a warmer version of Juno. CCB blows up and it snows like crazy right down to the coast in Mass. Just forms too late for us here and the beforehand airmass is awful.
  15. jm1220
    The $900B plan stands a good chance at passing IMO. Not what’s needed but hopefully enough to stave off doom for a few months.
  16. jm1220
    I’d rather it be nothing and have a salvageable and mild weekend.
  17. jm1220
    We’ve been fairly careful here-areas of increases but not crazy yet. We can definitely erupt at any time though if people become more lax. Restaurants/bars should close again here IMO.
  18. jm1220
    FL lighting up again as expected with restrictions dropping. Over 10k cases today and over 100 deaths. NY is headed up as well. CA over 15k yesterday. As some states in the Midwest subside somewhat other states are surging again, and they’re the big population states.
  19. jm1220
    With as strong as this Nina is, Dec and maybe early Jan are our real shot at winter.
  20. jm1220
    I guess we should note it’s about the 1 year anniversary of the last miserable windy cold rain event here where we watched I-90 get crushed. Can’t go too long without those. Joys of our climate. Note-many of us including me did end up with a couple inches at the end from the lingering CCB. Made up 1/3 of all the snow we got last “winter”.
  21. jm1220
    Trending towards a situation where Boston gets slammed at the end as the low pulls away. Another all too frequent too-late developer. The only chance we have down here is a strong CCB that can overcome the awful airmass for a few hours. Couldn’t care less about another windy rain event that will be even lousier due to it being a cold rain and watching people 100 miles away get crushed.
  22. jm1220
    It can be just fine for them if the upper low closes off and dynamics detonate overhead. Winds turn NNE and it’s all snow and heavy there. They had over 4” in the Oct storm, they can definitely do well now (not that it’s favored at this point).
  23. jm1220
    LOL, that would give me 12” where I live 100’ above Rt 110 and some slush down there probably. Gotta love that model. I mean maybe if this goes ballistic and upper levels close off overhead here instead of over RI/MA, there’s an angels in the outfield chance for snow near the coast.
  24. jm1220
    Yup, colder washout for us than the last storm but same deal-heavy rain for a while and wind. This time of year is tough for us regardless but lack of cold air is the real problem. Hopefully inland areas can get some snow. The best zone looks to be interior New England especially VT/NH.
  25. jm1220
    And just under 200k new cases.
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