jm1220

The trough over Alaska floods the US with Pacific air. Maybe it’ll be a little less of a torch? But certainly not below normal

Maybe we can start having stay-at-home watches and warnings?

Also in general as weather cools down, respiratory viruses in general survive longer and spread easier.

In the summer, people in the South (where the outbreak was worst by far) go indoors to avoid the heat. The recirculating A/C air and lack of mandates I'm sure made it much worse.

It can take off to a massive outbreak here again like nothing given the population density. We’ve done much better since April but can’t let our guard down. Also numbers are coming back up here like anywhere else.

Deaths are tragically trending back up too. We’ll be back over 1000 daily average next week most likely. If hospitals start getting overwhelmed I’m sure it’ll trend upward significantly faster. Seeing the death trend in Europe spike, unfortunately that’ll be us in 1-2 weeks. Understandably the election is top news but this is the other huge story.

We were due for a stretch of lousy warm winters and reverting back to our long term snow average. We can’t expect constant 40”+ winters here. The writing for more NW tracks and the SE ridge taking over was on the wall in 17-18 but we lucked out thankfully and held off enough. Repeat patterns for years on end seem to be the norm now. We’re certainly in a Nina type long term phase with the crazy Pacific Jet and will be until something in the Pacific fundamentally changes. No help from the NAO either in recent years.

If that’s the case, awful but all the better. A train of teases or nearby getting heavy snow and 33-34 rain here are the worst. Let ‘em all cut for Buffalo then and have it be warm here. Hopefully it’s not the cutter then days of bitter cold and dry before another cutter. Ninas are famous for that here too.

Excellently written. I obviously hope it’s wrong and it would be a winter of pure misery here but hard to argue.

That ain’t good. If Dec bombs here during a mod-strong Nina, hard to see any recovery given how Nina usually goes later in the winter.

I would take normal snow happening somehow this winter as a huge win. With the strengthening Nina the SE ridge will take every chance it can to dominate.

Quite windy here, large tree branch down in my backyard.

Albany’s about 60” and Boston is 43”.

28 here this morning also. Bye bye bugs.

There was snow and sleet here, didn’t accumulate so it ended up as T, but I think most of us had some form of frozen precip today.

Portland ME isn’t far from Boston, a lot closer than we are and they average in the low 70s for snow vs 43” for Boston. The real winners are cities in ME and have been for the last decade or so. Nina patterns like these do very well up there too since the cold air eventually resists all the cutters and makes them redevelop in the Gulf of Maine.

I see it as maybe like the Little Giants where we can beat BOS if it’s a year like 15-16 where we get slammed from an El Niño snowstorm and they get edged or suppressed. I think we beat them in 2009-10 and 2003-04 too. It does happen 1x per decade or so on average.

We know. I counted my T for the day which is what I hoped for. The warm LI Sound was the problem for most of us. Also just takes a lot of dynamics to get snow down to the NYC area this time of year and those may have been north of us with the best banding as well.

Seeing more flakes here-mangled but trying to mix in more.

Mangled flake from time to time here. If the Sound was 5 degrees colder, many more of us would be snowing.

I saw some mangled flakes here and had a period of mostly sleet with rain.

Sleet/rain mix here as well.

Yep, too bad it can’t be Dec. Would be heavy snow areawide. Same here- raining moderately now but the bright echos mean it’s snow not too high up. The warm Sound likely doesn’t help, north wind still warms up a little from the Sound.

It does look like the precip will fire up extensively and get moderate to heavy across the area as the strong upper low comes in. Hopefully it can be cold enough for snow to mix in area wide. If it was December we’d be looking at 6-12” everywhere just from this wave.

They were probably just very strong negative winds.