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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. There was snow and sleet here, didn’t accumulate so it ended up as T, but I think most of us had some form of frozen precip today.
  2. Portland ME isn’t far from Boston, a lot closer than we are and they average in the low 70s for snow vs 43” for Boston. The real winners are cities in ME and have been for the last decade or so. Nina patterns like these do very well up there too since the cold air eventually resists all the cutters and makes them redevelop in the Gulf of Maine.
  3. I see it as maybe like the Little Giants where we can beat BOS if it’s a year like 15-16 where we get slammed from an El Niño snowstorm and they get edged or suppressed. I think we beat them in 2009-10 and 2003-04 too. It does happen 1x per decade or so on average.
  4. We know. I counted my T for the day which is what I hoped for. The warm LI Sound was the problem for most of us. Also just takes a lot of dynamics to get snow down to the NYC area this time of year and those may have been north of us with the best banding as well.
  5. Seeing more flakes here-mangled but trying to mix in more.
  6. Mangled flake from time to time here. If the Sound was 5 degrees colder, many more of us would be snowing.
  7. I saw some mangled flakes here and had a period of mostly sleet with rain.
  8. Yep, too bad it can’t be Dec. Would be heavy snow areawide. Same here- raining moderately now but the bright echos mean it’s snow not too high up. The warm Sound likely doesn’t help, north wind still warms up a little from the Sound.
  9. It does look like the precip will fire up extensively and get moderate to heavy across the area as the strong upper low comes in. Hopefully it can be cold enough for snow to mix in area wide. If it was December we’d be looking at 6-12” everywhere just from this wave.
  10. Zeta moving at 55mph with 50mph sustained winds-must have been crazy in VA/NC with 105mph winds SE of the track!!
  11. New NAM is pretty cold and has a period of moderate precip tomorrow with the cold air. Would be nice to see snow tomorrow here even if it won’t be accumulating. North shore hilly areas, colder areas in NYC would have a decent shot I would think, in addition to the northern burbs where snow may actually stick.
  12. It is curious to me how the cloud tops are so cold south of the eye but there's no rain.
  13. Not terribly shocking unfortunately. The levees in New Orleans were reinforced but not sure if the same work was done on all the other SE LA levees. The “land” in much of that area is alligator-laden swamp.
  14. We had plenty of wind here on the right side of Isaias with only a few showers total east of the center with hundreds of thousands of power outages/trees down, strong winds behind Irene 2011 with the sun coming out, etc. Sometimes the winds behind the center even without rain can be as strong as the front end. Up here the dry air and rapidly increasing pressure have something to do with it usually.
  15. Could be some pretty gusty winds with the center of Zeta moving off the NJ shore. Last NAM had 40mph gusts or so especially near the coast.
  16. Makes sense the water would rise fast in a quick moving storm. In my town during Sandy the water rose VERY fast as the storm was still moving NW at 25 mph into Atlantic City.
  17. Bourbon St is definitely sheltered in many places. I’m sure downtown where there are many high rises will have substantially worse wind damage. People were expecting a minimal hurricane or cat 1 this morning so definitely a worse impact than thought.
  18. The eyewall is headed right for the city and if anything the center may go just west of downtown. Not sure how the city misses much of anything windwise. They're in for the full impacts.
  19. Lots of dry air being entrained into the south side. These half dried out type of N Gulf coast landfalls are much more common than an exploder like Michael. Dennis, Ivan, Katrina, Rita, etc etc.
  20. Hard pressed to call any of what it's making its way through now as land, really. Really won't be until it's N of New Orleans.
  21. Well it certainly doesn’t look like New Orleans ends up west of the eye. Headed NNE and still possible the eastern eyewall comes through. Certainly St Bernard/Slidell look to get it.
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