
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
In Long Beach today, boardwalk is definitely windy already. Sad to see what little snow there is here disappearing.- 227 replies
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Will be the case regardless lol- 227 replies
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
A good amount of snow melted here the last 48 hours but of course that isn’t the biggest threat down here. We lost a lot of weaker trees from Isaias, Sandy, Mar 2010 etc but Christmas without power is something no one’s looking forward to, and it’ll happen to a lot of people if we have to deal with 70+ mph gusts.- 227 replies
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CA would have to roughly double its hospitalization numbers to make it to NY’s per capita since CA has almost double the population. But of course the outbreak in April was largely focused down here in the NYC area and the rest of the state wasn’t affected as much.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
jm1220 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Good thing this snowpack is so water logged. It’ll hang on as long as it can. Irrelevant if this Xmas Eve 70 mph southerly wind event happens I guess lol. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
jm1220 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Geez, the snow might not get melted as much as blown away lol -
Just NY was nearly 1000 deaths per day at one point although we didn’t have the capabilities we have now. Especially now with CA hospitals full and still turning in 30000 cases per day, could get really bad soon.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
jm1220 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Dec is typically when we’d get snowstorms in a Nina so this is evolving the way a Nina should. There’s been more blocking than some predicted which is great, but we have to keep that in place especially since part 2 of Nina winters are usually warm and snowless here. -
We may have gotten over 8” with the afternoon snow showers we had but I’ll just say we ended with 8” here since I didn’t bother measuring
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First time for sure I heard thundersnow. Absolutely incredible rates. I was in Long Beach then-2 towns over reported 16”. Believable.
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Glad it's being upgraded soon.- 1,011 replies
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Verification: North Shore was pretty good. NYC was higher than I had with a lot of 10-12" amounts for the northern half of the city and over half a foot elsewhere. I-78 corridor in NJ seems like it came in with the 6-9" range. NJ coast I'm not seeing much if any reports of snow, if any they were less than 1" that was washed away fast. South Shore also looked pretty good. From what I could tell it was about 3" on the south fork and maybe 6-7" in the Rockaways. I was underdone on I-95 south toward Trenton, a lot of 6-7" amounts there. Westchester was good. Rockland may have gotten into the dryslot and/or had sleet since they on the low end of my thoughts. Same for coastal CT since there were a lot of amounts on the low end of what I had. Morris/Warren County NJ along I-80 also on the low end. Orange/Putmam/Sussex County/away from coastal CT I was too high. Maybe subsidence area from the deformation snow further north. Same with the Poconos/Catskills as the deformation snow band was further north along I-88. End result: Underdone in NYC and I-95 SW of the city, overdone in northern/western areas. LI/Westchester better. Overall grade: C+
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Map in parts of Suffolk are underdone. Commack, E Northport and here had 8” not 6”. Maybe just splitting hairs.- 1,011 replies
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Was a warning sign for days that models like the GFS and Euro were too cold. But we could’ve had a few inches extra if the WAA snow last night didn’t become chopped up after a few hours. That allowed warm air aloft to come in faster. Notice how the mix line essentially stopped then started north again when the precip broke up. Anyway 10.5” in Central Park and a 7-12” event overall in the city is great for December.
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December 16 2020 CTP Snowstorm Disco and Obs
jm1220 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nice!! The State College webcams look amazing today. -
December 16 2020 CTP Snowstorm Disco and Obs
jm1220 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Awesome! I knew you were in for it there. I told you a couple of days ago to start getting pumped lol. And it’s good since IPT is known for moderate events, not huge crippler events like this. -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Your total would be 7.4" then if you didn't count the sleet. Sleet counts in the total too.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Central Park up to 10.5" at 1pm. LGA 10.1", JFK 7.2", ISP 7.4", Upton 7.6", EWR 11.4". Looks like the Bronx ended with 12-13". Orange and Putnam look like they relatively got skunked by the insane band north of them. Impressive how many 10"+ reports there were in NYC, so a very nice event for Dec.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sun is out with a moderate snow shower.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Huge fluffy flakes with this too.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow here again. Crazy- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Geez. Even on good days though no one knows how to drive there it seems- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yikes, OK thanks. Wind was howling here too but I’m sure was worse down there. Luckily since almost no big trees post Sandy are left there, not as much to fall on power lines and take them out.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
@wdrag The call for an icy mess on the immediate coast here looks like it worked out. Parents in Long Beach say there’s ice everywhere, guess it rained for a time down there and all refroze. Not sure how much snow/sleet but hopefully 5-6”? Anyway now it’ll freeze into a brick if not already. Sun starting to peek out here and snow’s done. Very nice event even if it verified on the low end of expectations for snow amounts. My more conservative thought worked out well. Here I think I’ll go with 8” but may have been a little more if rain/sleet compacted the snow overnight.- 1,011 replies
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