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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    That deformation band almost always gets further north than models show. The razor sharp northern cutoff also looks like it wasn’t quite the case, amounts dropped off more gradually. Huge surprise I’m sure to Albany and just north that weren’t even under watches 48 hours ago I believe.
  2. jm1220
    At this rate under this band, might add another inch.
  3. jm1220
    Coming down moderate again.
  4. jm1220
    Just measured again, have a little under 8”. This little weenie band on 25A is close by, hopefully it can come through.
  5. jm1220
    Farmingdale at one point was 35 and rain so I assume everyone from the Suffolk border on east did as well. I was asleep as well, have no idea. There was 2” at 7am on top of a crusty layer which must have been the rain and sleet so that back end snow came after.
  6. jm1220
    Actually snowing at a decent clip here again.
  7. jm1220
    Nice! And probably some more after that so maybe ending close to 11”?
  8. jm1220
    Interesting. I’ll have to see if I can drive down Rt 110 later and see if/where the snow totals dropped off.
  9. jm1220
    The early dryslot ruined things more than the warmth aloft did. It wasn’t overly strong, and the Nam actually overdid it a little. If the snow shield would have held and not chopped up after the first few hours, we all would have a few more inches and we’d be closer to Upton’s point/click yesterday afternoon. The chopped up precip also allowed the warm mid level air to take over sooner.
  10. jm1220
    The 7” or so I have is what’s on a table top behind my house, so possibly could have been a little more which the sleet helped compact overnight, or inflated from blowing. I’ll go with what North Shore WX who does it properly reports lol. Light snow continuing.
  11. jm1220
    Very nice! Much bigger than any event I saw living there 2004-2009. Was hoping you guys could crack over 20” but still, looks like the best event since maybe 1994?
  12. jm1220
    Helps to be on the northern end of these events with that big deformation high ratio band. I’m sure there’s over 2” liquid there but it was probably 15-1 ratio for much of it. Incredible.
  13. jm1220
    Looks like a small final light snow burst forming over Nassau. Hopefully that can pivot over and drop a little additional accum.
  14. jm1220
    Light snow here currently, good bit of blowing around. Looks like I had about 2” in this back end stuff so far, definite sleet/ice layer in there. Altogether I think I have 7” or so but hard to tell for sure with the blowing.
  15. jm1220
    Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol
  16. jm1220
    Sleet here. Fights back and forth with snow once in a while.
  17. jm1220
    50/50 snow and sleet. Fighting back and forth.
  18. jm1220
    Mainly pinging with some snow mixed in. Winds continue to pick up.
  19. jm1220
    I live on a curving road that goes up and downhill. Haven't see it plowed yet.
  20. jm1220
    Air being too cold where the flakes form make them like needles and poor/average ratios like 10-1 or a bit lower. I remember numerous snow events in central PA where we had this tiny sand snow that took forever to add up. The best flakes that pile up fast are dendrites that form in -12 to -18C air so for good ratios you look for strong lift and moisture in that layer. The big flakes here are very likely due to them partly melting and aggregating on the way down.
  21. jm1220
    Down to pixie dust light snow/flurries.
  22. jm1220
    Probably. Heavier rates overcome the warm air aloft.
  23. jm1220
    Nice-2" in one hour, 5" total.
  24. jm1220
    Heavy precip burst making headway towards LI from the Atlantic. We'll see what that consists of up here.
  25. jm1220
    Models kind of suggested that happening. The heavier patches of precip can hopefully overcome the warm layer aloft.
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