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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. We need Congress to get their collective head out of its ass and get to work and pass a stimulus that would allow businesses to close without going completely belly-up. Right now there would be mass layoffs and closures that businesses wouldn’t be able to recover from this time due to no help. Food lines and the need for help are already the greatest since the 1930s. We definitely should shut down again but we don’t seem to have the will to take care of employees and businesses to do so unlike in Europe (where they seem to have plateaued and are decreasing somewhat in new cases now). Unfortunately what we’re headed toward is the overwhelmed healthcare system along with a collapsing economy anyway.
  2. Also over 2000 deaths today. When hospitals become overwhelmed like now, care can be significantly improved generally but fatalities rise because of the burden. Unfortunately more of this to come. Horrible failure all around, from the feds on down.
  3. NYC closing schools and allowing bars/restaurants to stay open is totally counterproductive IMO. The bars/restaurants are where the virus spreads, much more so than schools according to evidence, and it has huge economic repercussions when parents can’t go to work and have to care for their kids. Much of the reasoning must be teacher union pressure as well as pressure from bar and restaurant groups to stay open since there’s no government help coming, and it’s another black eye for De Blasio. It’ll do nothing to stop the spread and it causes tremendous headaches. We have some additional leeway vs other states for new cases but it can get bad here again very fast.
  4. 23 here currently. Cold definitely overperformed. LOL as always at the NYC heat island.
  5. 26 at my nearest station. Hard freeze tonight for sure. One positive about the tsunami of Pacific air coming in for next week is that maybe Thanksgiving groups can be outside or ventilated. Looks like the cold air gets stuck north of the border.
  6. Yup, areas of Long Beach that flooded in Sandy are essentially devoid of big trees now. The salt/chemicals/gasoline etc killed them. My neighborhood now was hit pretty hard in Isaias, lots of trees down.
  7. Got down to 30.4 at my closest station. I’m in a more elevated area just E of Rt 110. My elevation is about 200’.
  8. The constant Nina background state and warm Atlantic keep feeding it. Until the Nina background state goes away we’ll likely keep seeing it. As others have said it can be good in certain situations by keeping storms from sliding SE of here (“Bomb cyclone” just after New Years 2018) but more often now it causes inland runners.
  9. That used to be my job when I was living in Long Beach. It’s a rough job but someone’s gotta take it.
  10. Resembling a hurricane outside in Long Beach now. Torrential rain and crazy wind.
  11. So much for -AO typically meaning -NAO. The last few winters have done away with that correlation.
  12. The trough over Alaska floods the US with Pacific air. Maybe it’ll be a little less of a torch? But certainly not below normal
  13. Maybe we can start having stay-at-home watches and warnings?
  14. Also in general as weather cools down, respiratory viruses in general survive longer and spread easier.
  15. In the summer, people in the South (where the outbreak was worst by far) go indoors to avoid the heat. The recirculating A/C air and lack of mandates I'm sure made it much worse.
  16. It can take off to a massive outbreak here again like nothing given the population density. We’ve done much better since April but can’t let our guard down. Also numbers are coming back up here like anywhere else.
  17. Deaths are tragically trending back up too. We’ll be back over 1000 daily average next week most likely. If hospitals start getting overwhelmed I’m sure it’ll trend upward significantly faster. Seeing the death trend in Europe spike, unfortunately that’ll be us in 1-2 weeks. Understandably the election is top news but this is the other huge story.
  18. We were due for a stretch of lousy warm winters and reverting back to our long term snow average. We can’t expect constant 40”+ winters here. The writing for more NW tracks and the SE ridge taking over was on the wall in 17-18 but we lucked out thankfully and held off enough. Repeat patterns for years on end seem to be the norm now. We’re certainly in a Nina type long term phase with the crazy Pacific Jet and will be until something in the Pacific fundamentally changes. No help from the NAO either in recent years.
  19. If that’s the case, awful but all the better. A train of teases or nearby getting heavy snow and 33-34 rain here are the worst. Let ‘em all cut for Buffalo then and have it be warm here. Hopefully it’s not the cutter then days of bitter cold and dry before another cutter. Ninas are famous for that here too.
  20. Excellently written. I obviously hope it’s wrong and it would be a winter of pure misery here but hard to argue.
  21. That ain’t good. If Dec bombs here during a mod-strong Nina, hard to see any recovery given how Nina usually goes later in the winter.
  22. I would take normal snow happening somehow this winter as a huge win. With the strengthening Nina the SE ridge will take every chance it can to dominate.
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