Jump to content

jm1220

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    24,564

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Looking like the heavy rain axis will be a bit east of predictions this morning. Sorry @psv88 Around the city and points east look to have the best shot per radar and track. Nothing excessive but could definitely have 3-4" in some spots.
  2. jm1220
    A few sprinkles here so far.
  3. jm1220
    This won’t be anywhere near as bad wind wise as Isaias. Elsa is a weak tropical storm and won’t spend anymore time over water before getting here. Even though it might get an assist from an incoming trough it won’t make it that much worse in terms of wind. The story here is the rain and even that shouldn’t be extreme. Could be a swath of 3-5” probably west of us. We more likely get 1-3” in banding.
  4. jm1220
    Since Jan 1 many of us still have a precip deficit that Elsa should bring enough to take out.
  5. jm1220
    Odds are it somehow ends up west and jackpots NJ like always seems to happen but hopefully it can nudge east a bit and hit everyone. Wind wise I don’t expect much.
  6. jm1220
    Not surprising. Elsa won’t be off the coast at all pretty much before getting here. This is much more a rain threat.
  7. jm1220
    Ehh. Whatever rain we can get this time of year is a win though.
  8. jm1220
    Just about the lousiest conditions you could think of for 7/4 weekend. Thankfully tomorrow should be nicer.
  9. jm1220
    Here it’s been a rumble of thunder but otherwise nothing. Actually the sun broke out once or twice.
  10. jm1220
    The far north shore east of Glen Cove to Asharoken getting deluged too. Radar estimating 5”+ now. Would be huge impact if it was 5 miles south where it’s much more populated.
  11. jm1220
    Wow at that cell near Corona. Radar estimating 4" now.
  12. jm1220
    Elevated convection and forcing from the frontal boundary.
  13. jm1220
    If it moves into Shredd-aniola it might barely come out as a tropical system. Lots of booby traps for this one to cross through.
  14. jm1220
    Nice soaking moderate rain, definitely what the lawns need.
  15. jm1220
    Probably a significant straight line wind event in NJ. Some nice bow echos and good velocities. It missed out on NYC and LI where things stabilized after the rain earlier but still some heavy rain especially along the south shore. Moderate rain here now.
  16. jm1220
    Just had a heavy downpour.
  17. jm1220
    Looks like the slight risk was shifted north to include NYC. Some clearing outside will allow destabilization. Tons of humidity still to be tapped.
  18. jm1220
    Have moderate rain and a rumble of thunder but as usual the storm’s dying out as it goes east.
  19. jm1220
    Yes that was outflow. Moderate rain here now with the N Shore storm.
  20. jm1220
    Under a warning for it but the core of it might be headed just north of me. Guess I’ll find out soon.
  21. jm1220
    Looks like a decent cell in N Nassau currently headed east. Nice outflow boundary just came through.
  22. jm1220
    Farmingdale 91 degrees today
  23. jm1220
    Seabreeze really got going. Gusting to 26 mph at Farmingdale. I wonder how strong the Ambrose Jet ended up getting. Probably quite windy on the beach.
  24. jm1220
    Water temps are above average but not overly so, the worst departures are east of New England last I saw. The southerly winds however will definitely warm up the waters quicker. It’s counterintuitive but onshore flow days that cool the coast down actually warms the water faster than offshore flow days that cause upwelling. In the next couple decades it may be normal to start seeing 80F dewpoints here.
  25. jm1220
    Going with that and the 94 temp at my nearest station=106 heat index. I’m wondering why more of us aren’t under heat warnings today.
×
×
  • Create New...