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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Hopefully we can get a Nino next winter that can check the -PNA. That was the culprit more than anything. When we constantly have a trough diving into San Diego, it’s lights out for us. That forces a response from the SE ridge. And we want some SE ridge to keep the pattern from going suppressed in a Nino.
  2. jm1220
    27 here. Maybe my last sub-30 morning?
  3. jm1220
    Wouldn't surprise me if Long Beach ended with 1-2". The 2/28 event was either rain or nonaccumulating snow there when I had 5", and the other minor events I had either didn't happen on the extreme south shore or were minor coatings.
  4. jm1220
    I think it’s safe to call the record for Central Park at this point. So needless to say, this winter was an utter disaster. IMBY total was 8.5”. 19-20 was close but this was worse.
  5. jm1220
    Conditions must be insane along I-195 right now. That S NJ alley keeps producing.
  6. jm1220
    Shocker.
  7. jm1220
    I consider it a win if there’s more than a dying thundershower here from these lines coming from the west. They collapse immediately when hitting the marine layer east of the city. And this time of year that effect is even greater.
  8. jm1220
  9. jm1220
    OOOOOOK then! Godspeed! Thankfully odds are totally in our favor given how awesome those models have been at day 8-9 with snowstorms they’ve shown this winter.
  10. jm1220
    We were stuck in a dry slot while SNE over to E PA were slammed. What E PA had we were supposed to.
  11. jm1220
    Scary. The same places recently hit by tornadoes are in line again today.
  12. jm1220
    We might get another one or two. Looks like another strong cold front coming through on Sunday?
  13. jm1220
    Not me, if anyone would I’d say @bluewave or @donsutherland1 Thanks for compiling the data!
  14. jm1220
    Those Nina’s must have been way negative PNA ones like this season where the trough and storms were deep enough to slam into CA.
  15. jm1220
    If we have another quiet summer with little tropical activity and it’s hot (quite possible if we’re going into a Nino) that will expand. The typical south shore drought season puts that area in moderate drought.
  16. jm1220
    I think we can call it a fait accompli at this point.
  17. jm1220
    The volcano released a ton of water vapor which traps heat, not so much sulfur which would reflect heat. If we can have a favorable Nino next winter and get rid of the Nina influence we should be better off at least.
  18. jm1220
    God I hope not.
  19. jm1220
    Yep, also very limited lake effect once you go east of the Allegheny Ridge or Laurel Highlands. A few times per season State College gets the remnants of a streamer that can drop up to 1-2” but often it’s squalls that can quickly coat the ground then get blown away. I went to PSU there right after the big 2002-03 and 2003-04 seasons that started off the generally lame stretch that continues today outside a few exceptions. Was quite frustrating seeing all types of storms hit east and north of there.
  20. jm1220
    31” is still atrocious for State College. Their long term average is right around Boston’s. There has definitely been a shift in the last 15 years away from big snow seasons in central PA. Maybe it’s lack of clippers along with fewer coast hugging Miller A type systems. All the cutters along with more Miller Bs skip right over them or sleet/rain just like here. All the SWFEs do them zero good.
  21. jm1220
    Surprised. I remember 2003-04 as a colder winter than the one before although both were quite cold. The mid January 2004 pure fluff clipper with 8” in the single digits is the coldest snowstorm I can remember.
  22. jm1220
    It’ll likely be below freezing a few more times at least where I am. Since the city could barely get to freezing last night in strong CAA I have to agree.
  23. jm1220
    Down to 22 here.
  24. jm1220
    He still posts outlooks on Twitter.
  25. jm1220
    Quebec City which has the same climo would be way better.
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