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Everything posted by wxmeddler
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All hail the Dec. 5th magic!
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Profilers from MDE are wind only. I don’t know of any microwave radiometers in the area that would provide temperature. There might be a fortunately timed ACARS takeoff/landing at one of the big 3 airports but I’d have to look when I get into work.
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My comment on 2hr delay was for the broader N/W of I-95 region in general. Places that are already under a WWA essentially. Mitch: Yes, and the snow crab is amazing
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The radiational cooling is putting in work right now. If someone put a super-soaker to my head and made me call 2hr delay or not at this hour, I'd call 2hr delay. When the clouds move back in we'll likely rebound. This doesn't change what is going on upstairs though. If anything this just means higher chance of FZRA to start.
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We're at the point where we want to stay clear as long as possible.
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If you like wintry precip, your goal today is to get the least amount of sunshine as possible, OR hope that the clear skies last as long past 4pm as possible.
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This is ugly. 850 trough over the GL/OV stronger, and we've gone from 20kts of 850 overrunning to 40kts, and further west. Weenies avert your eyes.
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Heavy Freezing Rain at 30 deg isn't actually a huge problem on the surface as most make it out to be. Too much latent heat release happening. Trees / Power-lines are a concern, but you really need to be 28 or below for stuff to stick in moderate to heavy rain. The worst case is <28 and light rain, that's when you're in trouble. I think we're seeing a trend north and west with the WAA. If the surface holds at 30, might be few isolated areas that are a mess, if it gets to 32, we'll be fine disappointed.
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The frontal passage is spiking the temperatures by 10+ degrees within 15 min. Mixing out the inversion + downsloping.
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Looks like both
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Given the near 0c temps up to 700mb. The guidance on the P-Type is going to be all over the place up until precip time. Things I would focus on now is just amount and timing of saturation. "Wintery Mix" between I-95 and US340/US15 is what I'd go with. Good news at this point the that the chance of a whiff or bust is pretty low.
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Welcome, don't be afraid to ask questions. And remember, in the end, it's just frozen water.
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Careful, this is composite reflectivity. We still have some very dry air near the surface that will evaporate the vast majority of this. Gonna be one of those donut hole on radar things.
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Outside of the ridge tops, I'm a bit underwhelmed by this wind to be honest. Would have expected more from this CAA.
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This front tomorrow is looking "fun".
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Definitely not my first TV experience seeing how I was on air almost every weekend for a time. But! It was great working with the Outdoors MD crew! Super fun to work with and loved their stories of working other segments. Their videographer who does all the underwater stuff left for Greenland to film sharks just after we wrapped. Lucky.
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Garrett County Airport K2G4 came back but none of the others have. KFDK, KESN, and KMTN have been sending METAR's manually during hours that the control tower are open.
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That rule got changed a few years ago (2018 I want to say?) but it's not retroactive. So the T snow in July stays.
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Best Mid-Atlantic winter storm of the last 50 years
wxmeddler replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Feb 5-6 for sure at least in the past 25 years. As I type that, I realize that's since 2000 and now I feel very old. Anyway, Feb 5-6 was the cake and Feb 9-10 on top was just extra icing. PDII of 2003 is #2. Wasn't on the east coast for '96 or '93 unfortunately. -
I spent about 2 hours today making some phone calls to reach the right people who can perhaps turn up the pressure. This isn't going to be resolved overnight though.
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*Taps the signature.*
