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wxmeddler

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Everything posted by wxmeddler

  1. wxmeddler
    Looks like the NAM more than anything else, the Alberta s/w is hanging back.
  2. wxmeddler
    I'm not a fan of the FV3 core at sub-10km-ish scales. Glad the plan is to drop it in favor of MPAS. However, we're gonna loose the NAM and have the RRFS FV3 only for a year or two before the switch to MPAS apparently.
  3. wxmeddler
    It's good. The lagging s/w coming out of Alberta is interesting, but good trends for the coastal.
  4. wxmeddler
    Much more negatively tilted on the 18z EPS / AIEPS. Still goes to our east / too late to curl into the coast, but a concession.
  5. wxmeddler
    Holy Shift
  6. wxmeddler
    For the Euro watchers, I will say that the 12z Op is now definitely an outlier in the cohesiveness and timing of the s/w rounding the OHV. The foreign global and AI are much more set on a more westward solution. To the extent of the 18z GFS? lol no, but I'd say at this point we have something decent to work with here for measurable snow at least for eastern portions of the board.
  7. wxmeddler
    We are giving it credit because it shows the most snow. I think if you polled the mets and serious forecasters here they would say that it's likely not correct but it is "interesting". Next step for the snow lovers is to see if other guidance starts to bend towards the westerly solution.
  8. wxmeddler
    Here is the 10:1
  9. wxmeddler
    That verbatim (which I don't believe for a second) would be an all-time eastern shore crippler.
  10. wxmeddler
    Brought it 100 miles west.
  11. wxmeddler
    Holy ---- the GFS. What the ----
  12. wxmeddler
    The coldest spot in the mesonet today is the Kent Island station with a NE sea-breeze.
  13. wxmeddler
    Yeah, it's a good hit. The H5 really digs. Need another scoot 150 mi west, that's asking for a lot though. (It will be 300mi east next run)
  14. wxmeddler
    Horrible run to run consistency with the GFS so far. But this run looks good at h96 thus far.
  15. wxmeddler
    I'm a simple man, I see a thread pinned for an event within 5 days, I click. Let's start this slop-clock!
  16. wxmeddler
    I have seen 7 Snowflakes today. Not quite to my personal 10 flakes to a trace threshold.
  17. wxmeddler
    It's in a mini-cold sink. Cannan of the Maryland Piedmont
  18. wxmeddler
    Impressive
  19. wxmeddler
    I didn’t think 60 was ever really in the cards for this event. The boundary layer really only has ~45 kts. I want to see 60kts in order to get 60mph.
  20. wxmeddler
  21. wxmeddler
    Looks like it's making it over the mountains fairly easily.
  22. wxmeddler
    The Keysers Ridge RWIS had a gust to 53 mph.
  23. wxmeddler
    Garrett Co is getting pounded right now.
  24. wxmeddler
    The Polar front? Most definitively, the snow squall up in PA?... eh.. maybe a few flurries.
  25. wxmeddler
    I don't know why more people aren't in here. This is very exciting and rare for this area meteorologically.
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