wxmeddler
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Everything posted by wxmeddler
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TS Watches for OBX as of the 5p advisory
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The washing machine took me out 2 weeks ago when the last NE'ly flow event happened. I'm still finding sand in places you'd never think sand could ever reach.
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18z GFS has a doozy. Some very weak ensemble support as well. Odds still very much against though.
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The Ridgely MD Mesonet station picked up 1.10" in 20 min. That's impressive.
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Can't complain for July 22nd. The lower dew points didn't sink as far south as I expected.
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The flooding down in Fauquier / Manassas counties sounds isolatedly bad.
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Sfc-6km mean wind was ~10kts which is borderline flash flooding territory, but the CAM's all had good agreement on this being a cold-pool driven event. Seems like the bay breeze caused trouble though in Lancaster county.
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The cell in northern Loudoun / S Frederick Co's is first cell today that I've seen push 50dbz above the -20c level, so that's something.
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Agreed. The hygrometer is usually the first instrument to go wacky. They likely haven't calibrated / replaced it in awhile.
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That seems way too high. What does it say the is the T/Td is?
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A Blue Box with 42m people in it.
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The bay waters are are pushing 85+, the high dew points have not allowed ET off the surface to cool it. People are going to be talking about marine heat wave soon if this keeps up another few weeks.
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Based on the MD just issued, I'm assuming a severe T-storm watch is coming soon. T-Storm warnings now for Culpeper / Fauquier
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This morning's 12z balloon had 2.07" PWAT which is right about climatological max for this time of year. We got the smashed spider hodograph though, so expecting some wet down-bursts later.
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We're not popping off as fast as we were yesterday. We had lightning strikes in the region by Noon.
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Baltimore is understandable. I'm not sure what's going on with Pax River. We don't have any stations down there yet to verify. Could be micro-climate or sensor related.
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I noticed the same, it's definitely helping keep actual temps down. However it also makes the ET is sky high so the dew's are not mixing out as fast they normally would. Keeping the Heat indices high.
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Some of the NJ Pine Barrens fire came back around this direction. There was a fairly strong inversion last night where ozone got trapped as well.
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The solar radiation component has been missing from the ET formula lately. Which is good, because the wind and dew point depression hasn't been doing us much good lately.
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Fri,Sat,Sun nights look about equally trash. Friday night maybe has slightly less mid-level cloudiness? My suggestion would be to look at infrared satellite as the sun goes down each night and try to time a break in it. Wish I had better news.
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Hate to say it but with the trough sitting out west and ridge pumping moisture into it, that's a classic combination of persistent high clouds in this area.
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I love wind, these are my favorite kind of days. Everyday should be 50-70 deg, partly cloudy and winds 10-20.
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There is levels of wind. 15-20 is annoying. 35-40 is "Woah" "40-50" is "Oh Crap". 55+ is "dammit" 70+ is "$%^, !@^*,@^&*#"
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These showers should do good work. Ride the wind baby.
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Whichever model has the precip hole over my house is correct.
