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wxmeddler

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Everything posted by wxmeddler

  1. wxmeddler
    12z Euro is a solid hit, and cold enough for everyone!
  2. wxmeddler
    You can use T if snow fell then melted on contact. You don't need stickage for a Trace.
  3. wxmeddler
    I think we could be doing an inch an hour with this band if it was sticking. The model doesn't know if it's sticking, it just knows its falling.
  4. wxmeddler
    It's coming. We just had full switchover in Silver Spring. Edit: It's waffling a bit.
  5. wxmeddler
    So close to flipping over in Silver Spring... A few bombs are making it through.
  6. wxmeddler
    There was some thundersnow last night near Frostburg. Thinking hit some wind turbines up there..
  7. wxmeddler
    IAD just switched over to -SN
  8. wxmeddler
    From looking at the mesonet sites, looks like the magic number for transition is about 35.5...
  9. wxmeddler
    One heck of a thunderstorm (for February) about to go through Richmond. Lightning and small hail.
  10. wxmeddler
    Baroclinic Leaf Time..
  11. wxmeddler
    Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in mountains of NC...
  12. wxmeddler
    That's about the best you could ask for..
  13. wxmeddler
    RAP is overdoing the rates, it wants a 3"/hr deathband in DC with the TROWAL. I don't think I've ever seen 3"/hr with a TROWAL on a rapidly exiting system.
  14. wxmeddler
    NAM even wants to skunk State College, my gosh. lol, what a coup.
  15. wxmeddler
    H5 is back even a tad further west at Hr 0. Good grief lol.
  16. wxmeddler
    That's rain. For elevations near sea level, with surface temps above freezing need at least 925mb temps at -2C for SnowTV.
  17. wxmeddler
    When they scream it sounds like hundreds of chainsaws?
  18. wxmeddler
    Sloptastic
  19. wxmeddler
    All worship the rate deities. TROWAL be our light.
  20. wxmeddler
    If this was just colder with some CAD to start, this would have been beautiful with the "new" track. 700mb low slides right over top of us with the 850mb low just over southern MD. *chef's kiss*
  21. wxmeddler
    Also the northern stream s/w is a bit faster than expected 48 hrs ago (this is also what's bringing in the cold air aloft), and perhaps a tad stronger.
  22. wxmeddler
    No, it's the timing of how the southern stream cut off low ejects, it's been getting slower / further west. Allowing the northern stream s/w over SK/MB/ND to kick it further south.
  23. wxmeddler
    Additionally, I still don't trust relying on a TROWAL to deliver us the goods without an incipient CAD regime in place in front of an apps runner.
  24. wxmeddler
    Stacked cut off low's are always hard to time ejection, but agreed. This is particularly bad. Compounded by the fact it allows time for the "cold" air to filter in from Canada.
  25. wxmeddler
    It's because the GFS has gotten stronger with the s/w aloft. If you look at 300mb at 02-13 00z, the area of greatest difluence was over SW VA but with the stronger s/w, it's moved 100 miles NW towards KY/S OH. That isn't much aloft, but damn does that 100 miles mean a lot for advection at the surface with the apps in the way.
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