Jump to content

wxmeddler

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,872

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by wxmeddler

  1. wxmeddler
    Centerville (Queen Anne's Co) Prince Frederick (Calvert) Lusby (Calvert) Whiteford(Hartford) Would love to meet up! We're only down the street. Yes, I know the person you're talking about. I call dibs on being her employer when she graduates.
  2. wxmeddler
    We have 4 on the docket once we dry out a bit.
  3. wxmeddler
    I just want 50's not 80's.
  4. wxmeddler
    5" Snow Depth gain at the Berlin MD mesonet station from 11p to 12a
  5. wxmeddler
    The snow depth sensor also recorded a 3" gain from 10p to 11p during the same time.
  6. wxmeddler
    Picture I just sent to my met forecasting students at UMD. "How to Spot a Norlun" The analysis way: The cheating way:
  7. wxmeddler
    That would be +RASN
  8. wxmeddler
    Haven't talked to him but he would say the lack of a coupled jet preceeding the amplification doesn't bode well for getting the cold air in place (Which of know). I think he'd say that there's a higher than normal bust potential given the lack of a incipient cold wedge. But the dynamics are really high, so it should overcome.
  9. wxmeddler
    I think even with the less than optimal surface temperatures the NAM give the I-95 corridor north of Fredericksburg 6-8" system total. Edit: But it's gonna be slop.
  10. wxmeddler
    Stronger and further west at H5 coming out from the northern plains
  11. wxmeddler
    I got woken up by the sound of heavy rain. I went to go see and just after I opened the door I saw a flash of light. I thought to myself “no, can’t be” then boom. Yep! What a surprise that is!
  12. wxmeddler
    Cut-Off's (especially decaying ones) suck to forecast man...
  13. wxmeddler
    Need the Alberta s/w to either show up in the OHV 12 hrs earlier or just not show up at all. Euro has the messiest of both.
  14. wxmeddler
    I'm at H42, southern stream s/w looks slightly deeper and a tad west. The alberta s/w is very strung out over the dakotas. The "middle stream" s/w is getting ahead of the southern s/w. Looks messy.
  15. wxmeddler
    AIFS brings in the Alberta s/w faster and thus is later with the phase. It takes longer / further east to go negative tilt. Ironically, the opposite of the direction of the trends with the GFS/NAM with the alberta s/w lagging behind and not interacting with the southern stream, and acting as more like a kicker.
  16. wxmeddler
    Oh man, that's pretty.
  17. wxmeddler
    Looks like the NAM more than anything else, the Alberta s/w is hanging back.
  18. wxmeddler
    I'm not a fan of the FV3 core at sub-10km-ish scales. Glad the plan is to drop it in favor of MPAS. However, we're gonna loose the NAM and have the RRFS FV3 only for a year or two before the switch to MPAS apparently.
  19. wxmeddler
    It's good. The lagging s/w coming out of Alberta is interesting, but good trends for the coastal.
  20. wxmeddler
    Much more negatively tilted on the 18z EPS / AIEPS. Still goes to our east / too late to curl into the coast, but a concession.
  21. wxmeddler
    Holy Shift
  22. wxmeddler
    For the Euro watchers, I will say that the 12z Op is now definitely an outlier in the cohesiveness and timing of the s/w rounding the OHV. The foreign global and AI are much more set on a more westward solution. To the extent of the 18z GFS? lol no, but I'd say at this point we have something decent to work with here for measurable snow at least for eastern portions of the board.
  23. wxmeddler
    We are giving it credit because it shows the most snow. I think if you polled the mets and serious forecasters here they would say that it's likely not correct but it is "interesting". Next step for the snow lovers is to see if other guidance starts to bend towards the westerly solution.
  24. wxmeddler
    Here is the 10:1
  25. wxmeddler
    That verbatim (which I don't believe for a second) would be an all-time eastern shore crippler.
×
×
  • Create New...