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wxmeddler

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Everything posted by wxmeddler

  1. wxmeddler
    I maintain that SVR-Considerable with Tor Possible wording would have sufficed. 65 mph EF-0 is only 5 mph over base SVR. I don't believe there was any threat beyond a QLCS spinup of what we saw, and that took the open water and maybe a boundary to make it happen.
  2. wxmeddler
    There was an SCN that went out about it last year and there was no indication in there that there was going to be a replacement or complementary service. The SCN went put at about the same time as other things which were curtailing the access / dissemination of climate information.
  3. wxmeddler
    Very few perfectly clear areas that did not have smoke or clouds muddying the signal, but yes! Federalsburg on the eastern shore was about the best.
  4. wxmeddler
    Photo of the eclipse today from College Park by Dr. Ross Salawich, a professor in Atmospheric Sciences Department here at UMD.
  5. wxmeddler
    Mosquito larvae don't care about cold. If you've ever been to the Minnesota or Canadian Northwoods or Alaska in summer you're gonna get swarmed. The joke in Alaska is you need a frying pan to kill them they're so big. And those locations get down to -40 and below. I do know that Mosquito spawning cycles are temperature and moisture dependent but I'm not knowledgeable beyond that.
  6. wxmeddler
    Those are bad velocities from the dust / bugs etc. ahead of the gust front.
  7. wxmeddler
    I don't understand the reasoning for the TOR... It's pretty clearly cold pool driven outflow.
  8. wxmeddler
    I don't think a lot of the big velocities are making it to the surface (lack of DCAPE, and surface friction) but somewhere in there should be seeing 60 mph, which is plenty 'round here to take down limbs and old trees onto wires.
  9. wxmeddler
    LWX smashing the warn everything button
  10. wxmeddler
    You've recovered nicely. The area is still 5-7 degrees cooler than south of I-70 but it's recovered a lot faster than I expected.
  11. wxmeddler
    The squall line pushing across PA looks healthy.
  12. wxmeddler
    Lasted 20 minutes doing garden labor before checking out... this sucks. Bring on the 50s.
  13. wxmeddler
    Boundaries flying everywhere
  14. wxmeddler
    Cotton-Eyed Joe
  15. wxmeddler
    For an Eskimo you're pretty weird being comfortable in this heat.
  16. wxmeddler
    Oppressive out there.
  17. wxmeddler
    Short Term / High Res Guidance is fairly confident in redevelopment more locally after midnight, that's what the FFWatch is for.
  18. wxmeddler
    It's official: [Jeff Passan] BREAKING: The Boston Red Sox are acquiring three-time All-Star catcher Adley Rutschman in a trade with the Baltimore Orioles, sources tell ESPN. https://bsky.app/profile/baseballtradenews.bsky.social/post/3ms75qvpsq22w
  19. wxmeddler
    Taylor Ward to the Mariners, Red Sox talking to O's about Rutschman per ESPN.
  20. wxmeddler
    Trust the Synoptics IMO the synoptic setup was screaming that this would be a flooding potential event. I'm really surprised that WPC dropped the ball and didn't at least put a slight out to I-64 starting a few days ago. LWX slowly started to realize the potential starting on Friday but the writing was on the wall starting on Wednesday.
  21. wxmeddler
    Another rain slug coming up for the I-95 corridor to the Bay.
  22. wxmeddler
    I've been thinking / under the impression that the flooding threat from this system has been underplayed by WPC / LWX since about Wednesday. We don't often get 2.25" PWAT's coupled with a cut-off low to our southwest with a 200mb right entrance overhead. At least LWX on Saturday AM started to pick up the rainfall risk and has been amplifying the message since.
  23. wxmeddler
    Getting a little worried about the Sunday / Monday rain event... the setup seems fairly primed to produce flooding somewhere in the ridge/valley and piedmont region.
  24. wxmeddler
    Yes. Next question... It honestly has to do with the experience of the person in the hot seat. The operators down in Oklahoma / Texas / Kansas etc. are good because they've had the reps. As you move east there is a tendency over warn just because of the lack of events to get practice on what does and does not produce. The training is helpful but provides 50 cases at most. You really need hundreds / thousands to get good.
  25. wxmeddler
    Trees are the real killer to reliability. A major issue is that we're getting to the point in some of the older suburbs / planned communities that the trees planted at the time of housing construction are reaching the post-maturity age. They are going to fail/fall, and unless the landowner / HOA / town / county is on top of it (they are not), then you're gonna get outages with 30 mph gusts.
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