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Everything posted by wxmeddler
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm fairly well convinced that the recent SPC changes have fundamentally altered the way higher percentages are given out. So much so that most of the SPC climatology is going to have to be tossed / step-changed. Arguably for the better though! SPC Forecasters have repeatedly said that the % were under-done due to the way the rubric was constructed. That's why things like NadoCast and PPF's were always markedly higher. New 30%D3 is the old 15%. And that's good! I think it better conveys the actual risk. It's just going to get some getting used to.- 188 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not everyday you get a CONUS wide mid-latitude trough break in the center of the country. Exceptional synoptics call for exceptional caution.- 188 replies
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Was outside in a wide open field helping a student setup her research project... felt like I was back in North Dakota today! Fun times!
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Now 1/4mi Vis and +SN at BWI. NYG (Quantico) too!
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Half-Mile Vis at BWI
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If you're on the eastern shore the bay being 40 deg is killing you... was great yesterday when it was cooling you off by 20 deg!
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Nice big flakes. Even sticking to the grasses in the lowlands of College Park.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Holy cow, did you ever figure out the polarity and amperage?- 188 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Parr's Ridge convergence zone strikes again.- 188 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Torch. Also, get bay breeze'd Harford Co. Edit: I just saw that Annapolis Naval Academy is reading 50 degrees
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Post cold front snow on sharp, fast-moving troughs don't usually work out as far as accumulation. Ends up being too dry aloft and warm at the surface. You can get brief snow showers though.
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Dews too high
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What is a warm front?
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Haha... yes... yes... come to the dark grey side...
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ECMWF made the 6z/18z runs open access early last year I believe.
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BDCF / CAD wedges are one of the few areas in which I'd take the NAM over the Euro. Early March is peak BDCF Wedge season.
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One day of heavy fog is really neat. Whole world looks different. Two days, ok, getting boring. Three or more, let me out.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
wxmeddler replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Down to 29.5 in College Park with 1/2 mi VIS reported at KCGS. May have about an inch, going to go out and measure at 3p. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
wxmeddler replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cartopper criteria in College Park now. Good SnowTV. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
wxmeddler replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Biggy Flakes on Campus. Love it! -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
wxmeddler replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Winchester reporting between 1 and 5 mile visibility. -
Centerville (Queen Anne's Co) Prince Frederick (Calvert) Lusby (Calvert) Whiteford(Hartford) Would love to meet up! We're only down the street. Yes, I know the person you're talking about. I call dibs on being her employer when she graduates.
