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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes.
  2. For several days, the GFS has been hinting at a potential system as we approach mid month. The Euro is finally catching on. This morning's run has a widespread snow-to-mix overrunning event, not unlike the one we experienced a couple weeks ago.
  3. Our low temp was in the upper 30s and we're already in the 40s today, so the good snowpack is taking a hit.
  4. What the GFS is showing this morning will probably vanish on future runs. It feels like a flukey run. Models are generally just showing a strong cold front sweeping through the midwest. This is the first model run that shows a flattening of the fropa with a nice wave or two riding along the front. I'd have to see more models doing this, and stick with it, before I'd get excited.
  5. Will the warm flip back to cold again(and then back and back and back) or is the warm going to stick? Last winter lasted five weeks. Maybe this winter will last two weeks.
  6. Jesus Christ, people, can we please get back on topic? One person mentions JB and we get twenty f'n posts shi**ing on him. Enough!
  7. All the models (minus the ICON) are going north this morning. The midnight Euro, plus the 12z UK and Canadian have snow through southeast Iowa. Here's the Canadian.
  8. Euro.... this run has better interaction between the lead, moist, wave and the upper energy diving in from Iowa.
  9. 12z Euro - End of week system. It's there, but not exceptionally organized.
  10. I'd take a repeat of last winter. December was blah and the first week of January was a blowtorch, but then the hammer dropped and we had the snowiest five week period on record. Winter ended after those five weeks, but it was an amazing period.
  11. Yikes! That's pretty awful. Positive everything, MJO looping right back into the warm phases. Let's hope not.
  12. The other models are now caving to the GFS... the euro overnight and the ICON, Canadian, and UK this morning.
  13. Of course, the Euro decides to shake things up tonight. Here is the shift from last night's run to tonight's for the end of the month.
  14. The GFS is the only model showing the phased cutter. The ICON, Canadian, UK, and Euro all look about the same.
  15. I'd love to get blasted by a 16" blizzard as much as the next guy, but I don't mind the snowless December or mild Christmas week. The older I get, the more I feel, "whatever happens, happens". I'll just enjoy not having to go out in the cold to clean driveways. At some point we'll get some good snow and cold again, and when we do I'll enjoy that.
  16. UK is a nothingburger, suppressed south of the subforum.
  17. Euro not on the same planet as GFS as we head toward Xmas. It shows a very benign pattern.
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