Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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I think something will come out this afternoon to warn the public ahead of time.
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Yeah sometimes these storms either underperform or overperform in these type setups.
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Was thinking the same especially with the EURO and NAM going the way they are.
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This is more in line with what I think will happen for us here in the mountains. Im sold on the Euro. This is much more in line I think.
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GSP is always solid. So far so good.
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Thats what I was thinking. We all need a very hard freeze that goes deep into the ground.
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For yall but not for the mountains as Franklin said.
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Good times. We need a few nights below zero.
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One thing I see on the GFS is that there are several chances for snow coming up.
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I missed out on the Christmas snow and never saw more than 2" last year. So anything over 2" will be a vast improvement IMBY. I hear ya Tyler. Shoot we have already done much better this season than last.
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With the GFS the storm just looks unorganized with very little moisture. The more moisture the better.
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Yeah that has been the case for several runs now.
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The GFS just keeps getting worst and worst with the snow totals. Im not sure if it is just that far off or it sees something else... But it's pretty pathetic.
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Yep what he said lol. I was thinking the same thing.
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Nice to have another Haywood resident on here and yes I agree usually from central to southern Haywood does great in these type situations thats why I dont understand the snow hole that is being shown on some of the models. But non the less im going with my gut feeling and just knowing these mountains a lot better than some model...
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Yeah good stuff fellas. All great reasons and great discussion on here. Well we will see how things pan out today and early tomorrow morning.
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Oh yeah ill agree there is definitely a storm signal especially for us. Its just frustrating to see how the models seem to be struggling with how much and where. Like I said maybe today things get ironed out finally.
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See this is what I don't understand is some of those holes in the SW mountains should be getting a lot more than it shows. Maybe something is up with the algorithm but this map looks off to me..
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Im suspect anytime a models spits out huge numbers like that. Shoot how many times have we been burnt? I know I sound pessimistic but heck im as excited as yall are but I want to be sure of whats coming. Again no pipe dreams here only concrete meteorology.
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Yeah the issue I have is the inconsistency of the models. Usually they will latch onto something and stick with that. Maybe today is that day but the NAM has been consistently good for us but I dont want to just take the best look for us and say thats what its going to do. Hopefully we will see some kind of agreement today.
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The overnight models dont really impress me with this storm. The GFS looks very moisture starved to me, the NAM looks decent and the euro has cut back on totals a lot. Again to me not good signs if you are looking for a big snow fellas.
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Great stuff and thanks for dropping in time to time.
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The low just seems to be void of a really moisture wrapped system... This is why I said I would wait until Tuesday to really look at things. I've been down this road several times but the trends with the global models have not been great. Saying that we need to see how things play out and keep a level head.
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We have a rain/snow mix this morning. I feel like the freezing line will fall through the day.
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I find it comical how media outlets away from the mountains are latching onto this potential snow outside of WNC so much currently. I mean don't get me wrong I hope they all get hammered but it rarely happens that way.
