Met1985

Relatively speaking yes. Given the GFS depiction of rapid intensification, to elevation, to temps crashing and high winds this could be a real thing. Not to get into extremes but this would be a time when this would be an extreme local weather event if all unfolds as is being depicted.

https://whatsthiscloud.com/cloud-features/mamma/

No usually that's a sign of strong downdrafts in a system. Mammatus clouds are usually associated with Tornadoes.

Set the alarms.

Yeah you know how special the climate is here in Haywood for sure. You literally go down or up the road 1 mile and things can change in a hurry especially with the topography of the county.

Yeah Haywood in general is sitting pretty along with a lot of WNC. This should be a fun region wide storm were most will get in on the action. It's about time we saw this change in pattern.

I do think that we are in the prime spot across the board. However you slice it this will be a win for us. Whether 6 or 16 inches this is something we have been looking forward to having.

Verbatim there is a strip of 12 to 16 inches across the border counties right on the TN/NC line. Crazy amounts for sure. Amazing the totals keep getting upped at this junction.

Yeah the 12z GFS just went nuke on the border counties...

Impressive for Asheville.

Yeah I know a backroad heading into hurricane creek and over into Max Patch that I use often in the winter to avoid the crazy drvers who don't know anything about driving in the snow.

Ill be making a trip up that way.

Also I wouldn't worry about ground temps at all. Temps are going to be crashing and this will happen in the middle of the night along with intense rates.

Someone or a couple of places are going to pull a foot out from this system. With the rapid development and insane rates things are going to go downhill fast.

Post

Those rates along the border county are going to be insane early to mid morning.

Looks like things will start around 2 or 3 in the morning and just hammer from there. This is another great run for the mountains.

Yeah these rates are going to be insane with this changeover and band moving through. Should see some 2 to 3 inch an hour snows in the mountains.

Yeah some much needed rainfall that way after a dry Fall. The wind was roaring through the mountains last night.

Yeah those storms meant business this morning.

We will be keeping everyone updated for sure! Lots of pictures.

I know we are all stoked about the snow but who got blasted this morning by them storms?

Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, and Cove Creek 423 AM EST Sun Jan 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Avery, Madison, Yancey, Mitchell and Haywood Counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to noon EST Monday.

Yeah easily in my opinion especially if this ramps up real fast. Someone is going to see 2 inches an hour somewhere.

Yeah that's what im thinking also.