Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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Yep I can see town from the house. They actually do well with this setup.
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You may get in on the action this evening and overnight.
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You can tell the mid levels are really becoming saturated this morning. The ceiling is lowering and the snow is starting to really pick up.
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Yeah steady snow now. Better flake size and down to 27 degrees. Deck and grass are becoming covered now.
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Light snow with a temp of 28 degrees.
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We warmed up big time here. Full sun today with a high of 51 degrees. We have fallen back to 35 currently.
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I think the forcing and the trajectory is what is driving the outlook. You can even see the best accumulations will be right at Haywood, Swain, and Graham county. Personally I think Haywood is in the best position. Places like Crabtree, Fines Creek, and Max Patch are going to get waxed. Others will get snow but I think the huge totals will be in around this area.
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Shoot yeah!
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Really all the boarder counties look good. Also we are going to be plenty cold throughout so no worries about that.
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We are going to get better forcing down here but I'd say 6 to 12 plus for you. We are in the prime for this setup.
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This is going to be fun! Swain-Haywood-Graham- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, and Stecoah 303 PM EST Sun Jan 31 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY BELOW 3500 FEET... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 4 inches. * WHERE...Swain, Haywood and Graham Counties. * WHEN...From midnight to 1 PM EST Tuesday.
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Lol you kind of got piled on there but of course there has been frustration and probably will continue to be. But this is probably the best scenario we have seen all winter.
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This is definitely different. I actually think we are a shoe in for an arctic outbreak. The GFS has had this outbreak for several days now inside 10 days. We are about 6 to 7 days out now....
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Im locked and loaded now. Going to be one heck of an upslope event taking place then maybe multiple chances for snow and then an arctic outbreak...
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Thats the spirit! Glad you finally got some good snow yesterday.
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We are probably going to get our best upslope event that we have seen the past several years starting tonight through Tuesday. -
Yep
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Still way early to depend on a storm at this range but I fully believe we get an arctic outbreak.
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Yep I noticed that also. Boy if we have snow on the ground with that arctic outbreak....
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The euro is finally fully on board and drops the coldest air we have probably seen in some 3 or 4 years...
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How did you manage this go round?
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I will say as Ward has noted even the valleys will get in on snow with this setup. I think several people could be surprised.
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Well im like in Central Haywood but im at 3500 feet right along Crabtree mountain and Big Bald mountain. We do much better on this setup coming in. As were Maggie valley and the Balsams do a lot better on a wsw trajectory which that will not be the case this time around. The snow bands setup in the mountains like the bands up in the Great Lakes and its very hard to nail down a specific area because we have so many little micro climates.
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Like a lot of you. I think some of these most favored areas will see 1 to 2 feet of snow from this prolonged upslope event. This is going to be a treat for sure.
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The GFS continues to lead the way in something big for us temp wise. It has been rock steady bringing in true arctic air. The EURO has been abysmal so far.
