Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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This is definitely different. I actually think we are a shoe in for an arctic outbreak. The GFS has had this outbreak for several days now inside 10 days. We are about 6 to 7 days out now....
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Im locked and loaded now. Going to be one heck of an upslope event taking place then maybe multiple chances for snow and then an arctic outbreak...
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Thats the spirit! Glad you finally got some good snow yesterday.
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We are probably going to get our best upslope event that we have seen the past several years starting tonight through Tuesday. -
Yep
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Still way early to depend on a storm at this range but I fully believe we get an arctic outbreak.
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Yep I noticed that also. Boy if we have snow on the ground with that arctic outbreak....
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The euro is finally fully on board and drops the coldest air we have probably seen in some 3 or 4 years...
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How did you manage this go round?
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I will say as Ward has noted even the valleys will get in on snow with this setup. I think several people could be surprised.
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Well im like in Central Haywood but im at 3500 feet right along Crabtree mountain and Big Bald mountain. We do much better on this setup coming in. As were Maggie valley and the Balsams do a lot better on a wsw trajectory which that will not be the case this time around. The snow bands setup in the mountains like the bands up in the Great Lakes and its very hard to nail down a specific area because we have so many little micro climates.
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Like a lot of you. I think some of these most favored areas will see 1 to 2 feet of snow from this prolonged upslope event. This is going to be a treat for sure.
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The GFS continues to lead the way in something big for us temp wise. It has been rock steady bringing in true arctic air. The EURO has been abysmal so far.
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Yep thats what I have been thinking Ward. This is going to be a major event for us.
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The euro took a huge step towards the GFS this morning. Still not there with the cold air but it doesn't bury a trough in the SW which is a known bias. This mornings GFS just keeps hammering the coldest air of the season towards us in about 6 to 7 days. It actually moves the trough further east over us. That air mass would definitely give us lowes below zero and highs in the single digits. Impressive and something we have not seen in years.
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Big time coming up! Swain-Haywood- Including the city of Waynesville 433 AM EST Sun Jan 31 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Swain and Haywood Counties.
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Nice. Ive picked up maybe another half inch or so.
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Light mix here but we have shot up to 31 degrees.
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The GFS is bringing the hammer down for the 7 to 10 day temps. Its amazing how different the GFS and EURO are in that time frame.
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Looking at the GFS and the NAM both still look very good for the upslope event starting after midnight Sunday night. Both those models want to really scour out the cold air quickly. So we will see.
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Crazy how eerily still it is here. Just a slight breeze and under clear skies. Reminds me of just a regular night.
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Yeah I think you may be right Joe. This system is different.
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Yeah the wind is dead still tonight.
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Its crazy. We got up to like 37 degrees today also but with the snow pack, very little wind and virtually clear skies its like we are radiating like a beast. Which we do very well in those types of situations. Its just been a perfect storm for temps to nosedive tonight and fast at that.
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Well with this flow snow its going to kind of hit all angles. I think its going to start out as a west flow then NW then more northerly as the event kind of wraps up towards the middle to end.
