
mattinpa
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Everything posted by mattinpa
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Maybe declaring winter over is what we needed.
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Well it is certainly too far away to give up on it. But yes, we like when the GFS is south - and I hope if it comes back that we get more support. I remember the GFS being right while alone more with bad outcomes.
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It really develops the coastal for next weekend
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Thanks. Explains things well for why there could be some (if not a lot of) chance for a snow event.
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Any chance we get colder than the 40s that are predicted? The projected temps would give a cold rain. But yes might as well watch it. It would be gone quickly also, but any event this winter is a big thing.
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February having 28 days in non leap years always bothered me. Yes there are 31 days in Dec and Jan - but Dec is not our peak snow season.
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I do. Though I tend to be optimistic.
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Hi Don - how long do you see the February warmup lasting and do you think there will be one more chance before spring? (like in late Feb or March)
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Same with me. I know we need rain, but I wish we did not. Hate thunderstorms even more.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
mattinpa replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
So that’s what snow looks like! Moderate snow that looks pretty. Just a dusting so far. -
In most winters, there is something even if minor. So chances are something will surprise.
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At least it is the GFS and shows a suppressed system. Things have been correcting more north - too north and west in fact.
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Yeah at least there is the high which makes something measurable doable IMO - but wouldn’t be surprised if shut out again.
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End of month/early Feb looks like a possibility. Of course there is always a chance that goes away like the other periods.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
mattinpa replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yep, lightning and a loud clap of thunder here. So depressing for January. -
Considering all I have gotten is a brief snow squall on Christmas Eve, this would feel like a major storm.
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Well, if it does turn out that way, and we will see - I hope March is cold enough so the snow doesn’t just melt right away.
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Looks like something to track finally. While I do not expect this to turn into a good winter, as December showed, we could still have periods where we can cash in if things go right.
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Thanks for keeping on top of it. I enjoy your write ups a lot. Yes, what is coming up likely isn’t sustainable for a whole month, but we will have to see how cold it gets and if it snows. We don’t need it to be teens for highs like on Christmas Eve.
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Hi Don - I hope we do get cold by mid Jan because we’d really be wasting peak winter time.
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Fortunately winds were pretty light here and got to see a snow squall before Christmas. Currently 7 here.
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Can someone explain exactly what went wrong when we had such blocking? Bad SE ridge orientation?
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
mattinpa replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Interesting. Yes, the GFS showed rain, but its evolution was still different than the other models. -
It’s still well early enough for corrections. I did like seeing the GFS east. I hope they don’t all go to a cutter and stay there - we have seen that happen a lot.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
mattinpa replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’m definitely excited - the last White Christmas in Philly was in 2009 - but correct that we still need a lot of features in place to get a MECS/BECS.