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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. mattinpa
    Yes I am prepared for anything. Being skeptical is the way to go the last couple winters. I am hoping we can at least get something in between.
  2. mattinpa
    Well according to the snow maps, NYC gets hit well. The Euro had it more universal. So I think a lot is up in the air on the evolution. The maps had us doing better than I thought, though no more than a few inches.
  3. mattinpa
    True, meaning it is not so typical. Something could still be off with the GFS.
  4. mattinpa
    Until the Euro shows this, I won’t buy the GFS completely. GFS never great with thermals either. To its credit, though, the GFS has kept showing this slop.
  5. mattinpa
    I love how the 18z GFS bypasses our region for the best snow. Still have the Euro on board, and the bullseye could easily change.
  6. mattinpa
    It was certainly Dr. No tonight, at least for our region. DC does well. But still a lot of uncertainty over just how and where this forms.
  7. mattinpa
    Yes we could still get a decent snow with that, but I would like to see some consolidation. Otherwise solutions could be quite divergent.
  8. mattinpa
    Thanks! Do you think there would be such a difference between the city and suburbs? Isn’t the setup better than with the December storm?
  9. mattinpa
    GFS still being consistent with the Thursday storm. We’re just south enough on the 18z run to get some good stuff. Pretty clear the first storm will just be light snow/mix.
  10. mattinpa
    Well every now and then, the GFS sniffs something out that the others don’t. Confidence is still not high, but maybe that Euro run is progress.
  11. mattinpa
    Thanks very much for posting. Hope it turns out!
  12. mattinpa
    Hi - by sick do you mean ugly or big signal for a storm?
  13. mattinpa
    Looking at a nice, solid event. Probably nothing major, but that could come after.
  14. mattinpa
    It would be a shame if we wasted the cold, unless there was a record breaking cold spell, which isn’t close to a given.
  15. mattinpa
    Too far out to expect every whole run to be good, though. We’ll see if most of the runs show anything tomorrow.
  16. mattinpa
    Right now the GFS and Ukie are the opposite extremes. I’d rather the GFS if models gravitate to one or the other.
  17. mattinpa
    I’m always afraid to get too excited about a blizzard or MECS this early, but I do think it looks good for at least 6” Philly N&W. Doesn’t look like the cutoff would be in this region, and even with a mix we’d get decent totals.
  18. mattinpa
    Nice to see. At least we both got on the board this morning. I guess more opportunities will have to wait until next week?
  19. mattinpa
    Got a coating on the grass. Now it looks like there is already melting. But nice winter feel.
  20. mattinpa
    Good thing that’s a long way away. Even this year I would like a white Christmas.
  21. mattinpa
    I’m sure they will be changeable, but as someone said, until we get evidence close in it is a safer bet to bet on milder. Appreciate your posts and look forward to updates.
  22. mattinpa
    Sunday probably a cold rain for the big cities. We’ll keep watching after that to see if we can finally get the pattern to cooperate. Feels good to at least be tracking chances again.
  23. mattinpa
    I am not sold on a warm pattern lasting through Halloween. I personally think we get a period of below normal lasting more than a few days. How about those Yankees! I am a Phillies fan, but my grandmother who I was very close to used to root for the Yankees. So I have never minded them.
  24. mattinpa

    Hi, Snow11 - thanks for adding me as a friend. I'm doing pretty well - how about you? Have a great Thanksgiving. Hope we get our first snow soon after.

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