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hooralph

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Everything posted by hooralph

  1. Seems low to me and I find I’m usually conservative. I measured 5” on a trash can lid about 1:15.
  2. That’s really hard to believe. I walked outside for 30 minutes on the UWS about 11:30 and there was about 3” on railings, benches and cars. Even some streets had 2” on the pavement.
  3. Would guess it’s approaching 5”. Was a healthy 3+ around me over an hour ago.
  4. That’s the fish stand at the farmers market by Columbia. Outdoor dining was shut down today
  5. Stunner out. Sticking to everything. Over 3” is my guesstimate.
  6. Big snow globe flakes on UWS since about 8:45. Not sticking to cars yet.
  7. Manhole explosion watch will be needed for all of NYC.
  8. I pulled out the unique maxes from the different periods since most all are driven by single storms.
  9. I just ran this using a CPK data set I pulled right before the new year. Here's what I get as the periods in front of us we can pass Interestingly, I also calculated 15 day totals and they are not much higher. Jan 6, 1948 is tops at 32.1
  10. Looking at the forecasts, I recall one of my favorite random, low key storms - 2/7/03. Two weeks before the Blizzard, it came up the coast like a bullet; nearly identical snowfall distribution. Is that an analog here? Boston got a foot out of out. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html
  11. It's certainly supposition on my part. I know there has been research and studies showing that extreme rain events are (and will continue to become) more likely, and I would think ocean heat content would increase moisture available for snow storms, but it would have to be born out with research. wrt studies... it would be interesting to do a long term analysis of snowdepth, snow cover and snowfall amounts (both season and from individual events) across multiple locations. If the theory holds, we'd theoretically see increases in median and average snowfall from storms... but that snow depth and days with snow cover may not actually be increasing.
  12. Layman’s take on the changing climate: it would make sense that we are trending towards more extremes... that more of our snow is coming from larger events. It’s harder to sustain cold that allows small systems to stack up snow... but when we thread the needle, with much more ocean moisture to work with... watch out. I predict we see a 30” + snow in NYC proper in the next 5-10 years
  13. I might have Walt's AFD for the March 2001 storm saved somewhere.
  14. THEY HAD ONE JOB. In all seriousness, I scratched my head ay 18.3. I had just spent an hour out in Riverside and you wouldn't have convinced me we had more than 15-16".
  15. That deescalated quickly... hoping we get a pivot and some new bands to set up over the city to make a run at 20". Otherwise guessing we are sitting near 15" based on the 13.3" at CPK earlier.
  16. Things have let up and I was getting worried... lol. Looks like it’s going to pick back up again shortly
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