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hooralph

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Everything posted by hooralph

  1. Among other things, it led to serious deforestation of the island for firewood. https://www.gothamcenter.org/blog/war-weary-nature-environment-british-occupation-and-the-winter-of-1779-1780
  2. Was watching the Ken Burns Revolutionary War series last night and they got to the winter of 1779-80. Hudson so frozen over you could just walk to New Jersey. Can you even imagine?
  3. In Boston (proper) the 12/30/2000 was a horrific Blutarski 0.0 bust, so paired with the March storm (which was still impactful but not the son of '78 we were promised) they were kick-in-the-nuts bookends to the season.
  4. Just getting online and was going to report my storm total estimate of about 3" when I see CPK recorded 4.3". LOL... It's definitely not as deep as the one two weeks ago, though clearly more dense/ more WE.
  5. Yeah, it’s snowing again somewhat nicely now. About 1.5 dense, grainy inches on the ground. Very wintry. Main roads like Riverside Drive are snow covered. This time of year, only needed about 24 hours of AOB freezing to prep the surfaces to stick, even in the furnace of Manhattan.
  6. It’s VERY slippery. I almost just wiped out in the crosswalk wearing hiking boots.
  7. I will say this - side streets are already totally covered
  8. lol. used voice to text and didn't check that.
  9. It started snowing in Ernest about 20 minutes ago on the upper west side. Now sleet is already mixing in.
  10. The Kuchera maps will continue until morale improves.
  11. Honestly the most picturesque storm we’ve had in a long time. Magical December Sunday.
  12. In Riverside Park, in the 100s (about a mile as the crow flies from CPK station), looks like about 3.5” ? stunning. If you are sitting at your computer raging about the official measurement and not getting out and enjoying it, you’re doing it wrong…
  13. It all ends under cloudy skies as you cling to the idea that this time, the Norlun trough will deliver.
  14. I should have checked. I have the same forecast.
  15. (Hope the mods don’t mind me sharing this) I’m sharing - and looking for feedback on - a project I’ve been working on this summer. Its origins were an idea I’ve had for nearly 20 years - to create a platform where accurate information is elevated and showcased and helps improve the medium-range forecast information available to the general public. My idea was always to start with hurricanes, since forecasts are “easier” to measure for accuracy. https://hurricanehive.com/ Tldr; For anyone who wants to create medium-range forecasts: I built tools to create hurricane forecasts and then get accuracy assessments (alongside NHC and some computer models (hopefully more soon). For the general pubic (think of your friends and family): I also have put work into synthesizing the information into clear, digestible, hype-free forecast products. I think there is a serious information gap between the information available that can help people understand the medium-range risks and what they consume - increasingly through social media or weather apps that are very good at hourly / short-term forecasts. (yes, I am using AI - more on that below). I had time this summer and set out building it, which has been fun. If I get traction, I am want to extend this to a year-round product/service. Of course, I picked the tropical season of 2025, which has been devoid of long-track landfall threats… But I would love feedback - if you want to sign up and try the forecasting tools, you have options to keep them to yourselves or make them available for the public. I have the jobs to calculate accuracy in place, and will build out the front-end in the coming week or so. Initially I thought about leaning into a “leader board” approach, but don’t want that to scare people away from participating. I’d l love your ideas. And hopefully there will be more to track... For all you weather geeks, whether you want to forecast or not.. the entire storm archive back to 1851 is here, along with tools to search storms and create collections (if you register). I can also generate analog storms. How the forecasting works: when you register you can indicate you want to forecast (and whether you want to share them or not) Under /forecast - you can create a new forecast for each storm within 4 hours of the latest storm position update (so after 11 AM ET you have until 3). You can enter forecast points for any of the standard plots up to 120 hours and add an optional landfall point. Thanks for looking/listening and feedback. More (from my FAQ):
  16. Riverside Park is a mess. Been a long time since we took such a direct hit.
  17. Dunno if bluesky posts embed. no other good way to get vide on here... https://bsky.app/profile/blizzardgeek.bsky.social/post/3ly6ugvcnqk22
  18. Absolute pounding on UWS. Wind ripping. Rain sideways. Haven't seen anything like this in a long time. Sounds/looks like a tropical storm.
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